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Toronto Real Estate Market Report – November 2020

By Monthly Market Updates

 

According to the calendar… this year is almost over. According to November’s market numbers, the craziness continues!

The Toronto Real Estate Market saw a drop in new listings, active listings and overall sales. It also took about 4 days longer (28 versus 24 days) for homes to sell in the city. But between a mid-month lockdown and the seasonality of the year – this didn’t really come as a big surprise. 

Average Price

The average price of a home in the city increased by 13% when compared to the same time last year, bringing us to an average price of $955,615. And for those keeping score… that’s a $116,000 increase since January of this year (not bad during a pandemic).

 

Every segment of the market saw a drop in sales for November. The detached market had the biggest decline with a 24% drop month over month. However on an annual basis, both detached and semi-detached saw great gains with an 18% and 36% increase for each. Price increases were also the strongest for these two segments up over 8.5% for each. 

Condo Activity

2020 was definitely NOT the year of the condo!  In November, sales were down by more than 4% month over month – and nearly unchanged year over year. Prices followed the same trend – down by 4% month over month and nearly 3% year over year (nearly $20,000 less than the same time last year).

… but it is in the condo market that we see the biggest opportunity. With prices down and supply up, buyers, especially in the downtown core, these next few months offer one of the greatest times to get into the market. A quick MLS search for 1 bedroom condos south of Bloor brought up nearly 150 listings – this time last year, that was practically unheard of!

Three Trends To Watch

  1. We’re optimistically hoping that vaccines and the current lockdown help bring down COVID-19 case numbers in the months ahead and a return to a new normal.
  2. New by-laws for AirBnB operators will be enforced in early 2021 – will this impact supplies in the condo market further
  3. Will those that left the city due to COVID-19 make it through a northern winter? And will that impact demand in 2021?

 

DETACHED HOUSES

993 sales took place
295 fewer homes than the previous month (24% decrease in sales)
145 more homes than the previous year (18% increase in sales)
The average price of a detached home was $1,477,226
An increase of $6,369 compared to the previous month (0.4% increase in price)
An increase of $116,980 compared to last year (8.6% increase in price)

 

SEMI-DETACHED HOUSES

336 sales took place

80 fewer homes than the previous month (19% decrease in sales)

89 more than the last year (36% increase in sales)

The average price was $1,160,911

An increase of $6,824 compared to the previous month (.59% increase in price)

An increase of $93,884 compared to last year (8.8% increase in price)

 

TOWNHOUSES

362 sales took place

47 fewer homes than the previous month (11.5% decrease in sales)

68 more homes than the previous year (23.13% increase in sales)

The average price was $819,752

decrease of $8,338 compared to the previous month (1% decrease in price)

An increase of $56,454 compared to the previous year (7.4% increase in price)

 

CONDOS

1,375 sales took place

63 fewer condos than the previous month 4.4% decrease in sales)

more condos than the previous year (.5% increase in sales)

The average price was $640,208

decrease of $27,953 compared to the previous month (4.2% decrease in price)

decrease of $19,647 compared to the previous year (3% decrease in price)

 

Toronto Real Estate Market Report – October 2020

By Monthly Market Updates

As we enter the third quarter of pandemic activity in the city, one thing is becoming abundantly clear – houses are in high demand… and condos, not so much!

The average price in the city hit a new all-time high of $968,318 – largely thanks to the surge of prices in both the detached and semi-detached house markets. Condos continued to trend down in price with an average price of $668,161 nearly unchanged from last year’s monthly average.  

As rent prices continue to decline for condos (down 15 – 20%), and supply continues to increase, buyers have ample options to choose from. With the holidays around the corner, we’ve advised many clients to hold off on plans to sell (if possible), and revisit listing in the second quarter of 2021.

Three Trends to Watch

  1. a second lockdown may be looming in the city, and with it could come a further hit to consumer confidence. Could this impact all housing styles?
  2. with rent continuing to decline, will condo prices continue to soften?
  3. What impact, if any, will this have on the pre-construction market?

DETACHED HOUSES

1,228 sales took place
67 more homes than the previous month (5.77% increase in sales)
194 more homes than the last year (18.76% increase in sales)
The average price of a detached home was $1,470,857
A decrease of $16,265 compared to the previous month (1.09% decrease in price)
An increase of $147,842 compared to last year (11.17% increase in price)

SEMI-DETACHED HOUSES

416 sales took place
5 fewer homes than the previous month (1.19% decrease in sales)
94 more than the last year (29.19% increase in sales)
The average price was $1,154,087
An increase of $8,528 compared to the previous month (.74% increase in price)
An increase of $54,285 compared to last year (4.94% increase in price)

TOWNHOUSES

409 sales took place
7 more homes than the previous month (1.74% increase in sales)
69 more homes than the previous year (20.29% increase in sales)
The average price was $828,090
A decrease of $39,915 compared to the previous month (4.60% decrease in price)
An increase of $32,975 compared to the previous year (4.15% increase in price)

CONDOS

1,438 sales took place
111 fewer condos than the previous month (7.17% decrease in sales)
137 fewer condos than the previous year (8.7% decrease in sales)
The average price was $668,161
A decrease of $18,030 compared to the previous month (2.63% decrease in price)
A decrease of $5,530 compared to the previous year (.83% decrease in price)

 

Loft Purchase

By Testimonials

 

Mark inspires a level of trust and confidence during one of life’s most challenging and risky moments, namely the purchase of a new home. Add to that risk the complexity of buying in Toronto’s market and the situation can lead to a roller coaster ride. Mark’s knowledge of Toronto’s market, his professionalism, calm and strong interpersonal skills are just what I needed in getting back into the market after 15 years. He understood my needs so well that I bought the first home he showed me after he steered me away from a lovely home with what proved a sketchy renovation that I had first seen on my own. My new home is utterly gorgeous and suits my lifestyle and creativity to a tee. It is a total pleasure working with a professional like Mark Savel and I will work with him again if I buy a third property.

– Cass

What Are they Building at 529-543 Marlee Ave? 819 Glencairn Ave.

By New Condo Developments
More changes are coming to Marlee Ave! An application has been submitted by KFA Architects and Planners on behalf of 809726 Ontario Ltd to build a 9 storey, residential condo on the corner of Marlee and Glencairn.

Where Will the Condo be Built?

The lot is located on the North East corner of Marlee and Glencairn. The application was submitted to re-develop the addresses known as 529, 537, 539, 541 and 543 Marlee Avenue as well as 811 and 813 Glencairn Ave. For application purposes, the building is referred to 819 Glencarin Ave – but that name may change as the approval process progresses.
 

What is Currently on Site?

The lot is occupied by a three strorey mixed use building with commercial uses at grade and walk-up apartments above. 
Sidenote: we know this corner very well, as we’ve had many dinners at Li Cheng’s!

How Many Units Will be Built?

The current application calls for 84 residential units with retail at grade. The retail space can be divided into a variety of options, from 1 large unit to 6 smaller ones.

What Type of Layouts Will 819 Glencarin Ave Have?

The current proposal is calling for:
28 one bedroom units
24 one bedroom and den units
28 two bedroom units
2 two bedroom and den units
2 three bedroom units

What Will The Project Look Like?

What Amenities Will the Building Have?

Plans are calling for a gym and party room along with a shared outdoor balcony.

Will the Condo have Parking?

Three levels of underground parking will be included in the design, along with 79 parking space with two spaces for commercial use and eight for visitors. They will also have bicycle parking off of the main level.

When Will 819 Glencairn Ave Be Built?

Plans were submitted to the city in September 2017 and the first community consultation meeting was in January 2018.  There was a lot of community push back and a many changes suggested to the overall project.  As more info is known, we’ll update the blog!

Our Thoughts on the Project

Marlee Ave is ripe for development – it has the vibe, feel and potential to become “The Ossington” of midtown! This application is the second of the year for the strip (first being a series of stacked townhomes at Wenderly Ave), and atleast to us, a welcomed addition to the area.  

In January 2018, we attended the community consultation and unfortunately many in the room didn’t share the same enthusiasm for the project as we did!  There was a small handful of the usuals who flat out wanted no changes whatsoever.  BUT there was also a larger group that were open to redevelopment, so long the height was brought down.  

Personally, we think 9 storeys is perfect for the area! A short walk south on Marlee is where you’ll find several condos, built in the 70’s, with heights of over 20 storeys tall. We also like the use of red brick for the exterior, helps set it apart from yet another boring glass building.  

From the sounds of it, it looks like the architects will be going back to the drawing board to makes changes to the proposal. Be sure to check back as we’ll be providing updates as more is known!

Aerial panorama of Toronto at sunset

A Summary of Kathleen Wynnes Changes to the Real Estate Market in Toronto

By Advice for Landlords

Premier Kathleen Wynne, Finance Minister Charles Sousa and Housing Minister Chris Ballard announced plans to cool Ontario’s housing market.  We’ve summarized the proposed changes, and included our thoughts on how it we feel it impact the market:

Rent Control For All Tenants

Current rent controls, only apply to properties built prior to 1991 leaving many of Torontos downtown condos exempt from increase limits (currently set at the rate of inflation). The new proposals will now cover all properties regardless of when they were built.  

They are also looking into unlocking provincially owned surplus lands that could be used for affordable and rental housing development and a $125-million, five-year program to encourage the construction of new purpose-built rental apartment buildings by rebating a portion of development charges. 

These steps won’t really do much to add to the current lack of supply, and with the introduction of rent controls, will probably deter developers from ever actually building new rental stock.

I do think that rent controls are needed, but at rate higher than just inflation – something as simple as inflation plus 5% would result in only a $140 rate increase/month on a $2000 rental.  I was hoping the Liberal government would have introduced some controls on Hydro and Heat costs to help with monthly affordability for all!

Standardized Lease Document for all Tenants

This was briefly mentioned in todays announcement – Its purpose was to ensure “illegal terms and conditions” were not included in leases. I’m not entirely sure how they plan on handling this one as the Landlord and Tenant Board already has pretty specific guidelines that cover what can and can’t be included in leases.  Also, every rental provides its own unique set of challenges that require the crafting of pretty specific clauses. To have a standardized lease could leave both sides unprotected!

An Assignment Ban

The government wants to ban speculators from assigning their pre construction purchases before completion. It’s not clear how they plan on qualifying someone as a speculator vs. a buyer who’s outgrown their space before the project completes.

A typical project takes about 2-5 years to complete and in that time things can change.  I’ve worked with several buyers that have outgrew their initial purchase and wanted to sell before the project closed.  When buyers take this route, the often sell at less than market value, but for more than their original purchase price.

We don’t see very many properties sell by way of assignment as they are often tricky to complete and require builders approval before the sale can be finalized.  Those that do sell, often sell for less than market value (which helps those trying to get into the market)- so I’m not really sure how this will help with affordability.

Speculation Tax for Non-Resident Foreigners

Several reporters at todays announcement asked the officials for data to back up the claim that foreigners are buying up all these properties – but each time the question was avoided.  In reality, the government doesn’t currently collect this information. As part of todays announcements, all purchasers will now have to reveal their citizenship and where they live. Buyers will also have to disclose if the property will be used as primary residence or investment (something we already have to do when applying for a mortgage)

They also planned to introduce a 15 per cent tax on home purchases by non-resident foreigners… but of course, since they currently don’t have any real data on exactly how many foreigners are actually buying property at the moment – it’s hard to say if this actually take any competition out of the market.

Final Thoughts

I’m a bit relived that these aren’t the catastrophic changes some have speculated may happen. “This plan balances those needs to stabilize the market and prevent a sharp correction that would be harmful to everyone,” said Wynne. My take is that ultimately these measures won’t bring much change to Torontos real estate market. 

If you’re a buyer, things won’t be getting any easier anytime soon. You’ll still be faced with 5-20 people bidding for your “dream home”, with or without the foreigner tax.

Sellers, the climb continues (unless you’re trying to sell an assignment). Economics 101 teaches us that this price increase is fueled by a lack of supply and a ton of demand.  

Renters of properties built after 1991 who haven’t received a rent increase in the last 12 months – expect a price bump in the coming weeks.