Sold: 1048 Broadview #2108

According to the calendar… this year is almost over. According to November’s market numbers, the craziness continues!
The Toronto Real Estate Market saw a drop in new listings, active listings and overall sales. It also took about 4 days longer (28 versus 24 days) for homes to sell in the city. But between a mid-month lockdown and the seasonality of the year – this didn’t really come as a big surprise.
The average price of a home in the city increased by 13% when compared to the same time last year, bringing us to an average price of $955,615. And for those keeping score… that’s a $116,000 increase since January of this year (not bad during a pandemic).
Every segment of the market saw a drop in sales for November. The detached market had the biggest decline with a 24% drop month over month. However on an annual basis, both detached and semi-detached saw great gains with an 18% and 36% increase for each. Price increases were also the strongest for these two segments up over 8.5% for each.
2020 was definitely NOT the year of the condo! In November, sales were down by more than 4% month over month – and nearly unchanged year over year. Prices followed the same trend – down by 4% month over month and nearly 3% year over year (nearly $20,000 less than the same time last year).
… but it is in the condo market that we see the biggest opportunity. With prices down and supply up, buyers, especially in the downtown core, these next few months offer one of the greatest times to get into the market. A quick MLS search for 1 bedroom condos south of Bloor brought up nearly 150 listings – this time last year, that was practically unheard of!
DETACHED HOUSES
993 sales took place
295 fewer homes than the previous month (24% decrease in sales)
145 more homes than the previous year (18% increase in sales)
The average price of a detached home was $1,477,226
An increase of $6,369 compared to the previous month (0.4% increase in price)
An increase of $116,980 compared to last year (8.6% increase in price)
SEMI-DETACHED HOUSES
336 sales took place
80 fewer homes than the previous month (19% decrease in sales)
89 more than the last year (36% increase in sales)
The average price was $1,160,911
An increase of $6,824 compared to the previous month (.59% increase in price)
An increase of $93,884 compared to last year (8.8% increase in price)
TOWNHOUSES
362 sales took place
47 fewer homes than the previous month (11.5% decrease in sales)
68 more homes than the previous year (23.13% increase in sales)
The average price was $819,752
A decrease of $8,338 compared to the previous month (1% decrease in price)
An increase of $56,454 compared to the previous year (7.4% increase in price)
CONDOS
1,375 sales took place
63 fewer condos than the previous month 4.4% decrease in sales)
7 more condos than the previous year (.5% increase in sales)
The average price was $640,208
A decrease of $27,953 compared to the previous month (4.2% decrease in price)
A decrease of $19,647 compared to the previous year (3% decrease in price)
As we enter the third quarter of pandemic activity in the city, one thing is becoming abundantly clear – houses are in high demand… and condos, not so much!
The average price in the city hit a new all-time high of $968,318 – largely thanks to the surge of prices in both the detached and semi-detached house markets. Condos continued to trend down in price with an average price of $668,161 nearly unchanged from last year’s monthly average.
As rent prices continue to decline for condos (down 15 – 20%), and supply continues to increase, buyers have ample options to choose from. With the holidays around the corner, we’ve advised many clients to hold off on plans to sell (if possible), and revisit listing in the second quarter of 2021.
Three Trends to Watch
1,228 sales took place
67 more homes than the previous month (5.77% increase in sales)
194 more homes than the last year (18.76% increase in sales)
The average price of a detached home was $1,470,857
A decrease of $16,265 compared to the previous month (1.09% decrease in price)
An increase of $147,842 compared to last year (11.17% increase in price)
416 sales took place
5 fewer homes than the previous month (1.19% decrease in sales)
94 more than the last year (29.19% increase in sales)
The average price was $1,154,087
An increase of $8,528 compared to the previous month (.74% increase in price)
An increase of $54,285 compared to last year (4.94% increase in price)
409 sales took place
7 more homes than the previous month (1.74% increase in sales)
69 more homes than the previous year (20.29% increase in sales)
The average price was $828,090
A decrease of $39,915 compared to the previous month (4.60% decrease in price)
An increase of $32,975 compared to the previous year (4.15% increase in price)
1,438 sales took place
111 fewer condos than the previous month (7.17% decrease in sales)
137 fewer condos than the previous year (8.7% decrease in sales)
The average price was $668,161
A decrease of $18,030 compared to the previous month (2.63% decrease in price)
A decrease of $5,530 compared to the previous year (.83% decrease in price)
I think the crystal ball is broken!?!
At the beginning of 2020, all predictions pointed towards a record-setting year. Then COVID happened, and opinions reversed. The lockdowns in April severely skewed the numbers and it wasn’t until the middle of May that we started to see a return to (a new) normal.
June took that momentum and shattered several records for the month! We recorded a historic high for average prices in the city at $930,000 – beating the 2017 record of $920,000. We also saw sales double in June (compared to the month prior) and on average saw properties sell 18% quicker than last month.
The highs continued for the Detached, Semi-Detached and Townhome markets, all recording record-breaking prices for the month. Semi’s and Townhomes hit all-time highs of $1,287,832 and $855,399 respectively. In the detached market, we hit a new year high, and return to 2017 prices with an average price of $1,523,770.
Condos didn’t fare as well as the other housing segments. We did see a 77% increase in sales for condos in June, but the average price was nearly identical to May with an average price of $672,000 – which takes us back to the numbers we were seeing at the start of the year.
It’s important to remember, we’re still very much in the midst of a global pandemic. One promising month in June does mean the worse is behind us. I think a lot of the growth we saw last month can be attributed to the lack of activity we saw in months prior. I’m most curious to see what the employment landscape looks like in the Fall, and how business can adapt in months ahead.
- 894 sales took place
- 462 more homes than the previous month (107% increase in sales)
- 101 fewer homes than the previous year (10% decline in sales)
- The average price of a detached home was $1,523,770
- An increase of $101,497 compared to the previous month (7% increase in price)
- An increase of $191,131 compared to the previous year (14% increase in price)
- 263 sales took place
- 99 more homes than the previous month (60% increase in sales)
- 70 fewer homes than the previous year (21% decline in sales)
- The average price was $1,287,832
- An increase of $144,510 compared to the previous month (12% increase in price)
- An increase of $232,409 compared to the previous year (22% increase in price)
- 364 sales took place
- 200 more homes than the previous month (121% increase in sales)
- 8 more homes than the previous year (2% increase in sales)
- The average price was $855,339
- An increase of $60,713 compared to the previous month (7% increase in price)
- An increase of $45,300 compared to the previous year (5% increase in price)
- 1,287 sales took place
- 560 more condos than the previous month (77% increase in sales)
- 210 fewer condos than the previous year (14% decline in sales)
- The average price was $672,465
- A decrease of $1,563 compared to the previous month (.23% decrease in price)
- An increase of $35,859 compared to the previous year (5% increase in price)
2018 wasn’t much of a record-shattering year, and I don’t think anyone should be very surprised by the outcome! As we forecasted at the start of it, 2017 hit new heights in the city – and keeping on pace in 2018 would be nearly impossible. But that doesn’t make 2018 a disaster either. In fact, 2018 was a more balanced and easier to navigate market than in years past… so with that being said, let’s take a closer look at what happened!
The average price of real estate in Toronto for 2018 was $783,082! There was a two-way tie for the highest average price with June and October both clearing $807,000. $736,783 marked the lowest average price and was set in January. Compared to 2017, the overall average price in Toronto declined by 2.85% or $23,000.
The busiest month of 2018 was May with more than 19,000 properties coming to market. As impressive as the number sounds, we were still 6,000 properties short of the 25,000 listings reached in May 2017. The slowest month for new listings was December with only 4,300 coming to market and was expected with the seasonal slowdown during the holidays.
Total Number of Sales
In total, we had 77,909 sales in 2018. That represented a sharp drop of 15,249 fewer sales (16%) compared to the 93,158 sales in 2017.
It took 25 days (on average) for properties to sell in Toronto. From March to June that number went down to just 20 days, and in January and December, it went up to 30 days.
To better understand 2018, we have to start back in 2017!
2017 was a pivotal year in the city, reaching historical highs for both prices and the number of properties sold. The driving source of the price appreciation in the market was the soaring prices for detached homes throughout the first part of the year. At its height, detached homes were selling for more than $1,500,000. Affordability coupled with buyer fatigue, government intervention and changes to mortgage lending resulted in a swift cool down from May to August. We saw prices start to pick back up from September to year end, but never quite reaching the highs we saw earlier in the year.
At the beginning of 2018, we cautioned that the media would focus solely on “Year over Year” comparisons. We also forecasted that the numbers wouldn’t be as strong as in 2017, and to expect sharp contrasts between the two years. It’s hard to get a real sense of where the market is at if you’re only comparing against a record-breaking year (and the same is true if we were to compare it with a less than stellar year). For this reason, we also added analysis of the three-month trend for each segment and gained a more accurate look at the direction of the market!
Prices of detached homes proved to be a double-edged sword. As they cut through the headlines of 2017 and boosted the monthly averages – they did the opposite in 2018, performing like more of an anchor bringing prices and overall averages down.
Detached homes experienced the biggest price decline in 2018. Prices were down by $76,000 on average (a 5.5% decrease year over year) to just $1,307,604.
On the other side of the scale, condo prices helped the market maintain its pace and took the top awards in several categories.
Condos represented the best-performing segment of the year – up 9.4% (from January-December 2018), they had the highest year over year appreciation – up 9% (or $49,900) and also recorded the highest number of sales at 16,348!
Townhouses started off strong, nearly tieing the 2017 record-setting price of $793,129 by recording a high of $792,180 in April of 2018. But from there on out, prices started shifting down with prices ending the year at $714,456.
In 2018, the Semi-Detached market caught our attention the most… and we think they’re going to continue to be the segment to watch in 2019! From January to November, prices have gone up by over 13% (even higher than condos). There are two main reasons for the sharp appreciation: Price Point and Housing style.
1. Price Point – semis have been hovering around the million dollar mark throughout the year. In many parts of the city, you can still buy a semi for less than a million dollars. This gives buyers the flexibility to purchase with less than 20% down (something that can’t be done with houses priced over a million). Even at the million dollar mark, semi’s represent a housing style (with land and a backyard) for much less than the detached average of $1.3 million!
2. Housing Style – Most people start the property ladder single, and in a condo. As they partner up and move up the ladder, a house is typically the next step. We think that as more condo owners trade up, demand for houses will increase (as we partially saw in 2017). The semi represents a more affordable option and smaller price gap when compared to a detached home. Most semi’s also come with 3 or more bedrooms. Bungalows (at times can be priced in the same range as semis) often times only offer 2 bedrooms. For those who want the space and style of a house but without the higher price found in the detached market – the semi is our pick best-appreciating segment in 2019!
Average Price: $1,307,604
Yearly Percent Change: -5.51%
Yearly Dollar Amount Change: -76,207.58
Yearly High: May $1,426,094
Yearly Low: December $1,145,892
Average Price: $991,105
Yearly Percent Change: +1.75%
Yearly Dollar Amount Change: +$17,081.50
Yearly High: May $1,067,128
Yearly Low: August $891,208
Average Price: $738,458
Yearly Percent Change: +3.56%
Yearly Dollar Amount Change: +$25,407.17
Yearly High: April $792,180
Yearly Low: January $712,186
Average Price: $590,832
Yearly Percent Change: +9.03%
Yearly Dollar Amount Change: +$48,936.67
Yearly High: September $615,582
Yearly Low: January $543,279
On November 15th, 2018 Doug Ford and the Conservative Government announced plans to scale back rent control in Ontario. The plan will reverse the April 2017 “Rental Fairness Act” originally put in place by Ontario’s then-Liberal government which expanded rent control to all private rental units in Ontario.
The new policy will not impact all units in Ontario but rather all newly built units occupied AFTER November 15th, 2018. That means that if you’re planning on renting a unit that was built and occupied PRIOR to November 15th, 2018 – these changes will not impact you at all, and rent control will continue to be in place. Units that are subject to rent control can only increase the monthly rental rate by a predetermined amount set by the government each year. For units without rent control – there is no cap for how much you can increase per year!
Our first reaction to the change was that this would be HUGE news for the pre-construction market. On the surface, a condo with no rent control seems very appealing to condo investors. But digging (in the video below) a bit deeper, reveals that possibility of the opposite being true…
With these new changes, Tenants will have a choice between living in a rent-controlled unit with relatively minor yearly increases, versus non-controlled rents that can spike to any amount each year. Our assumption is that a tenant will be willing to pay more at the start of the lease in exchange for the stability and peace of mind that a rent-controlled unit will offer them.
In 2017, Toronto saw a big jump in rental prices once the “Rental Fairness Act” came into effect. Since landlords knew they would be limited in how much they could increase the yearly rent, many came to market on the higher end in an effort to hedge against lost rental rates for units with long term tenants. We anticipate a similar impact as there will be an even higher demand for units with rent control.
If you are a landlord of a unit that is built and occupied AFTER November 15th, 2018, you have the option of increasing your rent by any amount, once, per 12 month period.
For landlords of units built and occupied BEFORE November 15th, 2018 the amount you’re allowed to increase per year shall continue to be capped by the yearly amount decided by the government.
When trying to decide if your unit is subject to rent control, it’s important to remember that the date your unit was built and occupied determine if it’s impacted by the changes, and that it has nothing to do with when a lease was signed.
Lastly, remember that governments change… and just as the last one introduced rent control to all units, the same can happen in the next election. Whether you invest in a rent-controlled condo or one with no control, make sure you examine the pros and cons of each carefully!