Let’s talk about one of the biggest questions plaguing buyers (right after “Do we really need a powder room on the main floor?”): fixed or variable mortgage?
It’s not just a financial decision—it’s emotional. It’s about your risk tolerance, your long-term goals, and what kind of sleep you want at night. And in Canada’s current rate environment, it’s more relevant than ever.
The Basics: What’s the Difference?
Let’s start with the basics.
A fixed-rate mortgage locks in your interest rate for the entire term. You get predictability. Your payment doesn’t change, which makes budgeting a breeze. Whether rates skyrocket or sink, your monthly payment stays the same.
A variable-rate mortgage fluctuates with the lender’s prime rate, which is tied to the Bank of Canada’s overnight rate. That means your interest costs—and sometimes your payment—can rise or fall during the term. Some lenders offer variable products with fixed payments, where more or less goes toward the principal depending on rates.
What’s Happening in 2025?
As of spring 2025, the Bank of Canada has already started trimming rates after a prolonged tightening cycle. Inflation has cooled somewhat, and there’s widespread speculation that rates will ease further into 2026.
That’s got many Canadians thinking: should I ride the wave down with a variable rate, or lock in now just in case we’re in for more surprises?
When Fixed Rates Make Sense
Choose a fixed rate if:
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You’re risk-averse and don’t want to gamble with future payments.
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You’re stretching your budget and can’t afford payment fluctuations.
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You expect interest rates to rise again, or at least stay high.
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You need certainty—say, you’re buying your first home and just want one less thing to worry about.
Fixed is the vanilla ice cream of mortgages. Safe, stable, and not likely to ruin your day.
When Variable Rates Might Be the Smart Play
Consider a variable if:
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You have room in your budget and can handle short-term bumps.
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You believe rates will drop over the next 12–24 months.
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You want to take advantage of prepayment privileges (variable mortgages often come with lower penalties).
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You’re planning to sell or refinance in the near future and don’t want to get dinged with steep fixed-rate penalties.
Some of the savviest investors and seasoned buyers opt for variable—but they’re also the types who read Bank of Canada statements like bedtime stories.
Reality Check: What About Hybrid Mortgages?
If you’re feeling indecisive (no shame!), you could split the difference. Some lenders offer hybrid mortgages, where part of your loan is fixed and part is variable. It’s a bit more complex, but could offer a best-of-both-worlds solution for buyers with one foot in each camp.
Mortgage Strategy Should Match Your Life Strategy
Maybe you’re a new homeowner with tight margins. Maybe you’re upgrading and renting out your old condo. Maybe you’re a serial mover chasing the next hot neighbourhood. Your mortgage should match your life—not just market forecasts.
Here’s the truth: both fixed and variable rates can be the “right choice” depending on your situation.
What We’re Telling Clients in Toronto
Right now, many of our buyers are leaning toward shorter-term fixed mortgages—think 1 to 3 years. That way, they lock in predictability but keep the door open to refinance if rates drop.
Others are sticking with variable rates with the confidence that they’ll see savings over the next few years—especially if they’re not planning to break the mortgage early.
The key? Talk to a mortgage broker you trust. Get the real numbers, not just the sales pitch. We’ve worked with some excellent brokers across Toronto, and we’re happy to introduce you.
Final Thought
Listen, the decision between fixed and variable isn’t just about the math—it’s about peace of mind. Don’t pick the product that looks smartest on paper. Pick the one that lets you sleep well and move forward confidently.
Want help running the numbers or connecting with a great mortgage pro? Reach out to us here and we’ll guide you every step of the way.
