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GTA housing trends

Jun 06
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Tree lined residential street with older two story Tudor style

Toronto Real Estate Market Update – May 2025

By Monthly Market Updates

For buyers, sellers, and the real estate-curious, the numbers are in—and they’re telling a story of supply, hesitation, and opportunity.

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) May 2025 data, GTA home sales dropped 13.3% year-over-year, totaling 6,244 transactions. Meanwhile, new listings surged by 14% with 21,819 homes hitting the market. That pushed active listings up a striking 41.5% compared to last May, with some months earlier this year even seeing inventory jumps north of 70%.

But more choice hasn’t translated to more action. The average home price slid 4% from May 2024, now sitting at $1,120,879. And homes are taking longer to sell—TRREB data aligns with what we’re seeing on the ground: even well-staged, competitively priced homes are sitting longer than they did last spring (nearly 40 days, in total)

Property Type Insights

If 2021 was the year of the condo bidding war, 2025 is shaping up to be the condo cooldown.

Condo sales dropped a sharp 25% year-over-year. In fact, TRREB notes that fewer condos are trading hands now than during the early ‘90s.

Detached homes haven’t fared much better, but not all segments are in the red. In the 416, semi-detached homes and townhouses posted modest gains—up 1.5% and 3.4%, respectively—indicating that more budget-conscious buyers may be shifting focus to multi-family options.

Toronto Skyline with condos
Toronto Skyline with condos

Economic Factors Influencing the Market

So, what’s behind the slowdown? It’s not just prices or mortgage rates—it’s confidence.

Yes, borrowing costs are down slightly compared to last year, and yes, prices have dipped. But the real wildcard appears to be economic uncertainty.

The Bank of Canada has held its benchmark rate at 2.75% for two consecutive months, offering cautious optimism—but with the federal government’s latest Throne Speech reiterating housing promises without delivering timelines, many buyers remain on the sidelines.

Still, not all economic indicators are gloomy. Inflation cooled to 1.7% in April, and with unemployment rising to 7%, a rate cut could be on the table this summer—a move that would be particularly welcome for first-time buyers and those up for renewal.

Rental Market Dynamics

While the resale market softens, Toronto’s rental market tells a different tale. Rents are creeping up month-over-month, with average unfurnished one-bedrooms renting for $2,148. That’s a 1.02% increase from April, though still about $91 cheaper than the same time last year.

The real shift is in inventory—tenants now have far more options. For landlords, that means more competition. For renters, it may mean finally finding a place that ticks all the boxes—without a bidding war.

Navigating the Current Market

We’re in a transitional phase, not a tailspin. And with change comes strategy.

Buyers: You now have time on your side. Properties are sitting longer, sellers are more flexible, and your window to negotiate has widened. But don’t let analysis paralysis cost you a great home—especially with the potential for rate cuts later this year.

Sellers: The days of ‘list Friday, sold Monday’ are behind us—for now. In a crowded market, pricing smart and staging well are your new best friends. We’re advising our clients to lead with value and market with intention.

Everyone else: Whether you’re upsizing, downsizing, or simply trying to make sense of it all, the right advice matters more than ever. Every neighbourhood, property type, and price band tells a different story.

Thinking of buying or selling in this shifting market?

Let’s talk strategy. Whether you’re looking for your next home or need guidance on listing in today’s conditions, we’re here to help – Book a consultation or reach out anytime.

Apr 03
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March 2025 Market Update: More Listings, Lower Prices

By Monthly Market Updates

Let’s kick things off with some good news: homeownership in the GTA just got a little more affordable. Compared to March 2024, borrowing costs are down, home prices have dipped, and monthly payments are easing. For would-be buyers, that’s a welcome shift after years of relentless price growth and tight supply. Sounds like a win, right?

Well… yes and no.

Inventory Surges While Sales Slow

According to TRREB, 5,011 homes sold in March 2025 — a sharp 23.1% decline compared to the same time last year. Meanwhile, 17,263 new listings hit the market, representing a 28.6% year-over-year increase. That’s a notable rise in inventory, but fewer transactions are closing.

This growing disconnect between supply and demand signals a deeper shift in buyer behaviour. Whether it’s higher interest rates earlier in the year, uncertainty around employment, or just the overwhelming number of options, buyers are taking their time. They’re comparing, calculating, and — more often than not — waiting.

“Once consumers feel confident in the economy and their job security, home buying activity should improve,” said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.

In other words, this is more about psychology than pricing. Confidence — or the lack of it — continues to shape how and when deals get done.

Prices Dip, Then Flatten

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark dropped 3.8% year-over-year, while the average selling price landed at $1,093,254, a 2.5% decline from March 2024.

Month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis? Prices were essentially flat. That stability could suggest we’re nearing the bottom of the current price cycle. While that doesn’t mean prices will suddenly rebound, it does imply we may be entering a phase of price normalization, where the swings aren’t as dramatic — at least for now.

Across the GTA, pockets of opportunity are emerging. Detached homes in outer-416 zones, for instance, are seeing greater price flexibility. And for first-time buyers? Smaller condos, especially in older buildings, may offer better value than they have in recent memory.

King West Views
King West Views

More Affordable, But Buyers Are Cautious

The silver lining this month is clear: affordability has improved. With lower borrowing costs, more listings to choose from, and sellers increasingly open to negotiation, buyers have the kind of leverage that was virtually unheard of just a few years ago.

Yet many are still cautious. Why?

Between federal election buzz, trade policy uncertainty, sticky inflation, and concerns about job security, it’s a cocktail of hesitation. Add in memories of recent market volatility — and for some, declining home equity — and it makes sense that people want to be sure before making big moves.

“Home buyers need to feel their employment situation is solid before committing to monthly mortgage payments over the long term,” added TRREB’s Jason Mercer.

Anecdotally, we’re seeing more conditional offers, longer decision cycles, and increased reliance on financial advisors and mortgage pre-approvals. This isn’t panic — it’s prudence. And in today’s market, that mindset is driving the tempo.

What We’re Watching This Spring

  • Interest Rate Decisions – Expected cuts from the Bank of Canada could further ease borrowing pressure. If rates fall meaningfully, expect renewed interest in the detached segment.
  • Election Promises – Housing is a key issue across party platforms. Will that turn into meaningful action? Policy clarity could push more buyers off the fence.
  • Buyer Sentiment – Confidence is still the wildcard. If job numbers remain strong and inflation cools, momentum could shift quickly. Until then, a cautious optimism prevails.
  • Investor Activity – With prices soft and rents holding, some investors are eyeing re-entry — particularly in mid-rise buildings and transit-connected nodes.
  • Spring Showings Volume – Foot traffic at open houses is up, but conversions remain slow. If we see a rise in accepted offers heading into May, that may mark a true turning point.

Final Thoughts

Yes, affordability is improving and options are expanding. But for now, many buyers are keeping their hands in their pockets. That said, markets like this can create rare opportunities — especially for those willing to move when others wait.

If you’re thinking about buying, selling, or just want to understand where you stand, let’s talk. Whether you’re upsizing, downsizing, or exploring a new neighbourhood, we’ll walk you through what’s moving (and what’s not) — and help you navigate every step with clarity.