Monthly Market Updates | TorontoLivings

Jan 12

December 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

A Quiet Finish to a High-Inventory Year

Big Picture

December 2025 closed the year the way many of us expected: slower, softer, and more selective. This wasn’t a sudden shift—it was the natural compression of a market that spent most of the year carrying elevated inventory and cautious buyer psychology. Sales pulled back sharply from the fall, new listings tapered off as sellers stepped aside for the holidays, and prices softened further on both a month-over-month and year-over-year basis.

What matters most here is context. December didn’t change the market’s direction—it confirmed it. Buyers continued to hold leverage thanks to choice and patience, while sellers who remained active were increasingly motivated by timing, finances, or life changes rather than optimism. In other words, the market didn’t freeze—it clarified.

Sales & Demand: Seasonally Quiet, Selectively Active

Sales in December declined to 3,697 transactions, down 26% from November, which is entirely consistent with year-end seasonality. More telling, however, is that sales were up just over 10% year-over-year, suggesting buyers didn’t disappear—they simply became more deliberate.

Detached, semi-detached, and townhouse segments all experienced sharp month-over-month slowdowns, while condo sales also pulled back after a relatively active fall. This reinforced a theme that played out throughout 2025: buyers will move forward when pricing aligns with perceived value, but they’re unwilling to chase—or compromise, especially in the slow months of the year.

Inventory & Supply: Relief, Not Resolution

Active listings fell to 17,005, down more than 30% from November, largely because new listings collapsed to just 5,299—a normal December retreat. That said, inventory levels remained over 10% higher than December 2024, underscoring that the market is still structurally well supplied despite the seasonal pause.

This distinction matters. Negotiating pressure didn’t reset—it simply went dormant. Buyers heading into early 2026 will still be comparing options, price reductions, and listing histories from late 2025. Sellers hoping for a clean slate in January may find that buyers remember December listings very clearly.

Pricing & Value: A Soft Landing, Continued Sensitivity

The average Toronto home price slipped to $1,006,735, down 3.1% month-over-month and 5.7% year-over-year. Every major property type felt pressure, with detached and semi-detached homes posting notable annual declines, and condos continuing to wrestle with affordability ceilings and investor hesitation.

A key divergence worth noting: detached homes continued to see price sensitivity tied to affordability and carrying costs, while condos faced a different challenge—buyer hesitation driven by fees, investor pullback, and an abundance of comparable options. In short, detached pricing softened due to demand constraints, while condo pricing remained capped by supply and sentiment.

Equally telling: average days on market climbed to 65, the highest level of the year. Buyers weren’t rushing—and sellers were often forced to adjust expectations mid-listing. Gaps between initial list prices and achieved sales remained wide, particularly where sellers anchored to early-2022 or early-2023 benchmarks.

Housing Segment Performance: What the Numbers Showed in December 2025

Detached Homes

Detached home sales pulled back sharply in December, consistent with seasonal norms, but the more important trend was pricing behaviour. Detached prices continued to trend lower on a year-over-year basis, reinforcing that affordability—not demand—is the limiting factor. Buyers remained active, but only at price points that reflected today’s borrowing costs, not past peaks.

The rise in days on market was especially noticeable in this segment, signalling that detached sellers faced the greatest gap between expectations and buyer willingness. Homes that corrected early still sold; those that didn’t often linger. The year-end data suggests detached pricing remains sensitive heading into early 2026 unless rates or sentiment shift meaningfully.

Semi-Detached Homes

Semi-detached homes followed the same directional trend as detached properties, though with slightly better liquidity. Sales slowed month-over-month in December, but not disproportionately, reflecting steady underlying demand for this middle-ground housing type. Year-over-year performance was more stable than detached, reinforcing that buyers still see semis as a relative value play.

Pricing softened modestly rather than sharply. December showed that buyers had very little tolerance for even slight overpricing—homes that launched realistically moved, while those that didn’t quickly blended into available inventory.

Townhouses

Townhouse sales cooled alongside the broader market, but this segment continued to benefit from functional end-user demand. Price movement was relatively flat compared to detached homes, though performance varied significantly by product type. Freehold townhomes held value better, while stacked and condo townhomes behaved much more like the condo segment.

Days on market increased slightly, but not alarmingly. The key trend here is separation rather than decline: townhouses with clear value propositions remained competitive, while those caught between pricing tiers faced longer exposure and heavier negotiation.

Condos

Condos remained the most challenged segment heading into year-end. Sales slowed in December, and elevated inventory continued to weigh on pricing momentum. Year-over-year price softness persisted, reflecting investor pullback and increased competition among listings.

While entry-level and end-user-friendly units still attracted interest, buyers showed little urgency. Rising days on market and frequent price adjustments confirmed that leverage firmly rests with buyers. December reinforced that condos are likely the last segment to see pricing stabilization unless supply meaningfully contracts.

What This Means for Buyers

December reinforced that patience remains a valid strategy. While selection may thin temporarily, motivated sellers still exist—and many are willing to negotiate meaningfully on price, terms, or closing flexibility. Buyers who understand value, rather than simply chasing discounts, are best positioned as we move into early 2026.

For buyers looking to understand neighbourhood-level pricing and opportunity, exploring recent Toronto market breakdowns can help frame where value is emerging.

What This Means for Sellers

If you sold in December, you likely did so because you priced with intent. If you didn’t, the message is clear: 2026 will continue to reward preparation, pricing discipline, and strategic timing. Waiting only makes sense if expectations are flexible—and your timing truly allows it.

Sellers considering an early-2026 launch should pay close attention to how inventory rebuilt throughout 2025, as those patterns are likely to repeat.

Short-Term Outlook

As we head into the first quarter of 2026, expect inventory to rebuild quickly, buyer engagement to return cautiously, and pricing conversations to remain grounded. Interest-rate sentiment may improve marginally, but psychology—not policy—will continue to shape negotiations.

Thinking About Selling in 2026?

If a move is on your horizon this year, the groundwork matters more than ever. Pricing strategy, timing, and presentation—not hope—are what separate homes that sell cleanly from those that linger. If you’d like to talk through how this market impacts your buying or selling plans, send us a message below!

Dec 10

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November 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

According to the calendar, we’re officially in “hot chocolate and thicker jackets” season… and according to November’s numbers, the Toronto real estate market has also settled into full fall mode.

November wasn’t dramatic or chaotic. Instead, it felt like a market catching its breath—slower pace, fewer listings, and more thoughtful buyers. But tucked inside the overall cool-down was a standout story: freehold homes between $1M and $1.5M were buzzing with real activity. Let’s break down what actually happened.

What Happened in the Toronto Market This November?

Sales Slipped—But It’s Not the Plot Twist You Might Expect

Toronto recorded 5,010 sales, an 18.38% drop from October. On the surface, that might look like a steep fall… but November is historically a slower month as buyers shift into “holiday mode” and sellers decide to wait out the year.

The interesting part? Even with fewer deals happening, conversations with buyers stayed lively. This wasn’t a demand problem—it was a “let’s be picky” moment.

New Listings Dropped Harder Than Sales

Only 11,134 new listings hit the market in November—a sharp 30.7% drop. That’s the real story of the month. Sellers stepped back in a big way, which meant that buyers who were actively shopping suddenly had fewer homes to choose from.

When new listings fall faster than sales, the market tightens. And that’s exactly why prices held steady.

Even Active Listings Declined More Than Usual

Active inventory fell to 24,549—nearly 12% lower month-over-month.

Buyers who remained committed in late fall described the experience as “I’m ready… but there’s nothing to see.” Anyone who has been through a November search knows the feeling.

Prices Held Steady (All Things Considered)

Average Price: $1,039,458 (Down just 1.4%)

You might expect a bigger price swing with slower sales, but Toronto homes proved resilient. Prices barely budged and stayed right in line with where they’ve been for most of the year.

Think of it as the market saying: “Relax, nothing dramatic happening here.”

Days on Market Hit Their Longest Stretch This Year

The ‘Days on Market” rose to 56 days, the slowest pace we’ve seen in 2025.

This doesn’t mean homes aren’t selling—it means buyers are taking their time, comparing options, and running the numbers twice. But again… this was not the case everywhere.

The Breakout Segment: Freehold Homes Between $1M and $1.5M

Here’s where things get fun.

Detached & Semis in This Range Moved Faster Than the Market

Despite the overall slowdown, this pocket of the market stayed lively. In the 416:

Detached homes saw 600 sales
Semis hit 209 sales

Not record-breaking, but the energy was noticeably stronger. Freeholds that were move-in ready, offered rental potential, or were located near transit didn’t sit long.

Why? Because this price band continues to hit that Toronto sweet spot: attainable for move-up buyers, attractive to investors, and competitive enough to avoid the bidding-war chaos of earlier years.

Condos and Townhouses: Softer Demand, Stable Pricing

Condos Took a Breath After October’s Spike

Condo sales dipped to 880 (a 17.9% decline). No surprise here—condo buyers tend to be more rate-sensitive, and many are waiting for early 2026 announcements before locking in.

Yet, the average condo price actually inched up to $701,259. That’s the stability story again.

Townhouses Were a Mixed Bag

Townhouses landed at an average price of $870,793, a modest 2.2% dip.

Still, they continue to appeal to buyers who want the space of a freehold but not the price tag of one. The townhouse segment is very much alive—it’s just quieting down with the rest of the market.

Big Picture Trends Shaping Toronto’s Market Right Now

Mortgage Rates Are Finally Helping

After the Bank of Canada’s gradual cuts, many 5-year fixed rates now sit in the mid-4% to low-5% range. Buyers aren’t sprinting back, but confidence is noticeably higher than in 2023–2024.

If you talk to anyone who started a pre-approval a year ago and renewed it recently, they’ll tell you the same thing: “This feels manageable again.”

Consumers Are More Hopeful—But Still Cautious

Renewals at higher rates are still holding some would-be sellers back, especially those locked into ultra-low pandemic mortgages.

But newcomers, families, and investors are fueling the activity we do see—especially where rental income or multi-unit potential exists.

Policy Shifts Are Playing a Quiet but Important Role

With Bill 60 improving LTB timelines and clarifying the N12 process, landlords and investors are planning ahead with more certainty.

Meanwhile, Toronto’s ongoing gentle-density permissions are quietly changing how buyers view freehold lots—especially those with laneway or basement suite potential.

What Buyers Should Take Away From November 2025

Where the Opportunities Are

Freeholds under $1.5M: competitive, but not overwhelming.
Condos: stable prices + motivated sellers = room to negotiate.

What’s Likely Coming Next

Expect December to stay quiet—it always does. The real moment to watch is early 2026, when the Bank of Canada sets the tone for the year.

If confidence rises, expect buyers to move from browsing to buying.

Thinking of Buying or Selling?

Whether you’re upsizing, downsizing, or investing, November’s data tells us the same thing: this is still a market with opportunities—just not the loud, dramatic kind.

When you’re ready to talk strategy, we’ve got your back!

Nov 06

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October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

After a quieter summer and a cautious start to the fall market, October delivered the clearest sign yet that Toronto’s real estate landscape is stabilizing. Sales activity continued to improve, inventory eased from September’s surge, and prices held firm month-over-month. While the market is not roaring forward, October showed a meaningful shift in sentiment as buyers re-engaged and competition tightened slightly across several segments.

Below is a full breakdown of how the market performed and what it means for buyers and sellers heading into the final stretch of the year.

October at a Glance

Sales: Up 9.76% month-over-month
New Listings: Down 16.57% month-over-month
Active Listings: Down 5.40% month-over-month
Average GTA Price: Down 0.47% month-over-month
Average Days on Market: 50 days (down from 51 in September)

GTA Market Overview

October delivered a second consecutive month of sales growth, rising nearly 10% from September. Buyers who had previously stepped to the sidelines over the summer began returning, encouraged by improved affordability expectations, increased negotiation power, and a sense that prices may have reached a temporary floor after months of softening.

Inventory also pulled back in October. New listings dropped more than 16% month-over-month, and active listings declined just over 5%. While supply remains higher than last year, the month-over-month easing helped bring the market closer to balance. With fewer new listings coming online, sellers benefited from slightly less competition than they faced in September.

Prices remained stable, dipping less than half a percent. Considering the broader downward pressure over the past year, October’s minimal price movement suggests values may be flattening as the market finds an equilibrium between what sellers are willing to accept and what buyers are prepared to pay.

Key Takeaway: October showed improving buyer engagement and tightening inventory – two key ingredients for price stabilization.

Key Market Drivers in October

Improved Buyer Confidence
The fall market saw stronger engagement as buyers adjusted to borrowing costs and gained clarity around pricing. This confidence translated into increased sales activity across both freehold and condo segments.

Inventory Eased After a September Surge
September’s spike in listings created temporary pressure on prices. With fewer new listings in October, buyers had less choice, helping restore some balance.

Price Stability Encouraged Move-Ups and First-Timers
Stable pricing helped both move-up buyers and first-time purchasers make more confident decisions, especially in the condo and semi-detached segments.

GTA Market Performance: Month-Over-Month

Sales increased by 9.76% (+546 sales)
New listings declined by 16.57% (-3,191 listings)
Active listings dropped by 5.40% (-1,586 listings)
Average price decreased slightly by 0.47% (-$5,005)
Days on Market improved from 51 to 50 days

Key Takeaway: The combination of rising sales and falling listings is a positive directional shift for market balance.

GTA Market Performance: Year-Over-Year

Sales down 7.81% from October 2024
New listings up 4.83% from last year
Active listings up 13.59% from last year
Average price down 7.12% year-over-year (-$80,843)
Days on Market up 16.28% from last year (+7 days)

Key Takeaway: While the month-to-month narrative has improved, year-over-year comparisons continue to show a softer market with more choice and lower prices than last fall.

416 Market Breakdown by Property Type

Sales Activity (Month-Over-Month)

Detached: Up 10.67% (+72 sales)
Semi-Detached: Up 22.90% (+49 sales)
Townhouse: Up 13.64% (+30 sales)
Condo: Up 14.04% (+132 sales)

Sales growth was seen across all housing types, marking one of the broadest improvements this year. Semi-detached homes led the month, followed closely by the condo sector, which regained momentum after a slower summer.

Key Takeaway: Buyer interest strengthened across all segments, showing renewed confidence in the market.

Pricing Trends (Month-Over-Month)

Detached: Down 3.97% (-$66,966)
Semi-Detached: Up 3.18% (+$37,582)
Townhouse: Down 4.19% (-$38,919)
Condo: Up 2.66% (+$18,126)

Freehold properties saw mixed performance. Detached and townhouse values experienced modest declines, while semis posted the strongest price gains of the month. Condos also saw average prices rise, supported by an uptick in demand and more motivated fall buyers.

Key Takeaway: Semi-detached homes stood out as the strongest performer, while condos continue to offer value-driven opportunities for buyers.

What This Means for Buyers

With inventory easing and sales strengthening, buyers considering a purchase in the next three to six months may want to take advantage of current conditions. Prices have shown signs of stabilizing, and as competition picks up, the negotiation leverage seen through the summer could begin to narrow.

Key Takeaway: Buyers still hold advantages, but conditions are shifting. Acting before inventory tightens further could be beneficial.

What This Means for Sellers

October offered sellers a more encouraging landscape than earlier in the fall. With fewer new listings entering the market, properly priced homes saw more consistent showings and engagement. Attractive, well-prepared properties continue to see the strongest results.

Key Takeaway: Sellers who position their home strategically and price with the current market will find more motivated buyers than in recent months.

Our Take

October marked an important turning point for Toronto real estate. While we’re not seeing dramatic price growth or frenzied bidding wars, the combination of stronger sales and softer listing numbers suggests the market is working toward balance. Confidence has improved, and both freehold and condo buyers are moving more decisively than they did over the summer.

Heading into the final months of the year, the market appears more stable and predictable than it has been for most of 2025. For both buyers and sellers, clarity is returning, and informed strategies are key. As always, reach out any time if you’d like to learn more!

Oct 16

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September 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

September brought a noticeable pulse back to the Greater Toronto Area housing market. TRREB reported 5,592 homes sold across the region — an 8.5% increase compared to the same time last year. This rebound comes alongside a 4% increase in new listings, with 19,260 properties entering the market.

While activity picked up, prices continued their modest retreat. The MLS Home Price Index Composite Benchmark dipped 5.5% year-over-year, while the average selling price landed at $1,059,377, down 4.7% annually. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average price held relatively flat month-over-month (up 0.2%), while the benchmark dipped slightly (-0.5%).

With more homes for sale and increased buyer negotiation power, the market remained competitive — but not chaotic. This remains a market driven by opportunity-seeking buyers and realistic sellers.

Interest Rates & Economic Backdrop

After holding steady for months, the Bank of Canada announced a much-anticipated rate cut in September — lowering its key policy rate to 2.50%.

The move came in response to softening inflation, weaker job creation, and ongoing global trade challenges. It also provided a notable psychological and financial boost for homebuyers, many of whom had been sidelined by borrowing constraints.

Lower rates mean more manageable monthly payments — especially for variable-rate borrowers or those renewing mortgages. According to Global News, some households are now able to qualify for homes that had previously been out of reach.

Expectations are building for two more 25-bps cuts before spring 2026. If realized, this could significantly improve affordability metrics and buyer confidence.

Deep Dive: Sales, Listings & Price Trends

The September landscape was defined by:

More sales: 5,592 transactions (up 8.5% YoY)
More choice: 19,260 new listings (up 4% YoY)
Lower prices: Benchmark HPI down 5.5%, average price down 4.7%
Subtle shift: Sales up vs August, but listings down → signs of slight tightening in certain pockets

This mild tightening suggests some segments — especially entry-level freeholds and move-in-ready condos — may see more bidding activity heading into the fall.

Condo Market & Our Brokerage Lens

Here’s where things got interesting for us at Toronto Livings.

While broader TRREB data showed continued softness in the condo market, our listings told a different story. Every condo we had on the market in September sold faster than expected — often within a week, and in some cases with multiple offers.

Buyers seem to be responding to three things:

Relative affordability: Condos offer a lower price point for end-users and investors alike.
Inventory balance: With listings plateauing, urgency is returning.
Renewed investor appetite: Lower rates + strong rental demand = better ROI math.

This isn’t a market-wide shift yet — but it’s a trend we’re watching closely, especially downtown and in midtown nodes like Yonge & Eglinton and Liberty Village.

What Buyers & Sellers Should Watch

For buyers:

Affordability is trending in your favour. Lower mortgage rates = more purchasing power.
There’s still room to negotiate. Prices are down YoY, and sellers are motivated.

For sellers:

Well-prepped, well-priced homes are moving. Especially in the condo and mid-tier freehold space.
Professional staging, marketing, and pricing strategy matter more than ever.

For everyone:

Inventory may tighten further if new listings continue to slow and sales ramp up.
October and November often bring strategic buying opportunities before the winter slowdown.

Outlook & Forecast

TRREB expects 76,000 total sales by year-end, with modest price growth returning in early 2026 — assuming more rate cuts are on the table.

But there are caveats:

Construction activity is falling — new housing starts have slowed considerably.
Policy coordination is lacking — TRREB is calling for better alignment between all levels of government and industry players.
Supply chain and labour constraints continue to weigh on delivery timelines.

Still, with borrowing costs easing and buyer sentiment rising, the stage may be set for a more active close to the year.

Thinking of making a move this fall? Let’s talk — the market may offer more opportunities than you think.

Sep 08

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August 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

If it felt like the market hit pause in August… it kind of did.

Between vacations, back-to-school prep, and one last cottage weekend, it’s no surprise that activity slowed across the board. For our team — and many of our clients — the majority of the month was spent away from the action. Historically, August tends to be one of the sleepiest months in Toronto real estate, and this year followed that familiar script.

That said, a quiet market doesn’t mean a stagnant one. Beneath the surface, some subtle (and potentially significant) shifts took place.

Sales Slow, Listings Rise – A Buyer’s Market (On Paper)

The Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) reported 5,211 sales in August 2025 — a 2.3% increase year-over-year, but a sharp 14% decline from July. That drop wasn’t unexpected, given the seasonal slowdown. What stood out more was the surge in new listings: 14,038 properties hit the MLS, up 9.4% from last year and higher than July’s tally.

In plain terms: buyers had more to choose from, and fewer competitors to contend with.

TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule put it this way: “With the economy slowing and inflation under control, additional interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada could help offset the impact of tariffs. Greater affordability would not only support more home sales but also generate significant economic spin-off benefits.” (FYI, the Bank of Canada is meeting on Sept 17th to decide on the policy interest rate)

You can almost hear the fall market gears warming up… but then again, who really know!?!

Pricing Holds Steady — But Down From Last Year

The average selling price in the GTA came in at $1,022,143 — down 5.2% year-over-year and 2.81% from July. The MLS Home Price Index (HPI) Composite also fell 5.2% annually but held flat month-over-month.

That month-over-month stability may seem like good news for sellers, but context is everything. Properties sat longer, with average days on market rising to 49 — the second slowest pace of the year (only January was slower at 55 days).

In short: homes are still selling, but not without negotiation — and patience.

Condos: The Softest Spot on the Map

Of all housing types, the condo segment saw the steepest summer dip. Just 890 condo sales were recorded — making it the third weakest month of 2025. Prices followed suit, with the average condo selling for $667,660, marking the worst monthly performance of the year.

That said, inventory remains healthy and choice is abundant — which could be a silver lining for buyers looking to enter the market or make a move-up purchase.

What This Means for Fall (And Why September Matters More Than Ever)

August may have been sluggish, but fall could be a different story. With many buyers and sellers returning from summer break, we expect momentum to pick up in September.

TRREB Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer noted that, even with lower borrowing costs and softer pricing, affordability remains a challenge. But any additional cuts from the Bank of Canada — like the ones forecasted this fall — could bring sidelined buyers back into the game.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Know Right Now

For Buyers:

Inventory is your advantage. With listings up and competition low, now’s the time to shop around and negotiate with confidence.
Interest rate cuts may be coming. Acting before they hit the headlines could save you from bidding wars down the road.
Condos are especially soft. If you’ve been eyeing a unit downtown or looking for an investment property, this could be the moment to pounce.

For Sellers:

Buyers are cautious, not absent. Presentation, pricing, and patience are key.
Prep now for the fall surge. We expect renewed activity in September — having your listing market-ready could pay dividends.
Highlight value. With affordability still a top concern, make sure your home’s best features are front and centre.

Final Thoughts – Don’t Sleep on the Slow Months

Yes, August was quiet. But that silence came with a lot of signal: more listings, longer days on market, and room for negotiation across nearly every housing segment.

Sellers: now’s the time to prep your listing for fall. Presentation, pricing, and timing will matter more than ever.

Buyers: if you’ve been waiting on the sidelines, this might be the moment to step in. Less competition. More inventory. And the possibility of more favourable rates ahead.

After a well-earned summer breather, Toronto’s market is gearing up again — and we’re here to help you navigate what’s next.

Looking to buy or sell this fall?
Reach out to the Toronto Livings team — even if August was all about rest, we’re ready to help you move forward in September.

Aug 04

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July 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

A Stronger Summer Showing

The Toronto real estate market delivered its strongest July sales performance since 2021 — a welcome shift after a slow start to the year. According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), 6,100 homes were sold across the GTA last month. That’s a 10.9% increase over July 2024.

New listings also climbed to 17,613, up 5.7% year-over-year. But with sales rising faster than listings, the market saw a modest tightening — signalling that more buyers are finding opportunities to jump in.

Are Prices Still Falling?

Yes — but there’s more to the story.

The MLS®Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark was down 5.4% compared to last year, while the average selling price dropped 5.5% to $1,051,719.

Month-over-month, prices held steady — suggesting the bottoming-out trend we started to see in June may be sticking around.

“Improved affordability, brought about by lower home prices and borrowing costs, is starting to translate into increased home sales,” said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.

On the Ground: More Buyers, Faster Sales

From what we’re seeing firsthand — buyers are back.

Between back-to-back interest rate cuts earlier in 2025 and greater affordability in key segments (especially entry-level condos and townhomes), buyer activity is up. Homes are selling faster, showing traffic has picked up, and serious buyers are making moves.

This is the second month in a row that sales have outpaced new listings on a seasonally adjusted basis — a trend worth watching as we head into the fall market.

Rate Relief & Economic Outlook

While the Bank of Canada held its key rate at 4.25% in July, economists expect another cut may be on the table this fall (September is the next meeting).

Mortgage rates have already reacted, with many 5-year fixed options dipping below 5% — making ownership slightly more attainable for buyers who were previously priced out.

But the economic picture remains mixed. As TRREB’s Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer notes:

“Recent data suggest that the Canadian economy is treading water… further interest rate cuts would spur home sales and see more spin-off expenditures, positively impacting the economy and job growth.”

What About the Foreign Buyer Ban?

Despite its name, the foreign buyer ban isn’t an outright block. There are several exemptions that allow non-residents to purchase real estate in Canada, including:

Multi-unit buildings with 4+ units
Vacant land and development parcels
Recreational and rural properties
Purchases by international students and temporary workers under defined rules

This is important context for developers and investors looking at multiplex conversions or purpose-built rentals.

Key Stats at a Glance (July 2025)

Metric	Value	YoY Change
Home Sales (GTA)	6,100	+10.9%
New Listings	17,613	+5.7%
Avg. Selling Price	$1,051,719	-5.5%
MLS® HPI Composite	—	-5.4%
BoC Key Interest Rate	4.25%	—
5-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates	~4.89%	Lower than 2024

What Buyers and Sellers Should Know Right Now

For Buyers:

Timing is on your side. With prices flat month-over-month and rates slowly trending down, conditions are more favourable than they’ve been in years.
Competition is still manageable, but we expect that to shift as fall approaches — don’t sleep on pre-approval and fast decision-making.
Condos and townhomes are heating up, especially in midtown and west-end pockets. If you’ve been on the sidelines, now’s the time to revisit your strategy.

For Sellers:

Pricing matters more than ever. Overpricing is a fast track to stagnation — strategic pricing is key in this transitional market.
Presentation counts. With more motivated buyers, staging, pre-inspections, and marketing make a real difference.
We’re seeing faster sales for homes that show well and are priced right — especially in walkable, transit-connected neighbourhoods.

Final Thoughts

Affordability is improving. Buyer confidence is growing. And if July’s numbers are any indication, we’re moving toward a more balanced market.

With fall just around the corner, there’s likely more activity — and more competition — to come.

If you’re planning to buy, sell, or just want to know how the shifting market affects your next move, reach out to us here.

Want a better sense of your home’s current value? Get your free evaluation and we’ll show you what today’s buyers are paying.

Jul 07

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June 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

Real estate in Toronto took another small step toward affordability in June. With borrowing costs and average selling prices still trailing last year’s levels, more buyers are beginning to test the waters—even if many are still playing the waiting game.

The housing market showed further signs of recovery in June, as buyers benefited from a growing number of listings. With more inventory to choose from, many were able to negotiate below asking prices—an early sign that market leverage is beginning to tip back toward buyers.

Sales and Listings: Market Gains Traction (Sort Of)

Realtors reported 6,243 sales through the MLS System in June—a modest 2.4% dip compared to June 2024. However, new listings jumped 7.7% year-over-year, reaching 19,839 properties.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, sales were up compared to May 2025, while new listings were down. That combination—more buying activity and slightly less inventory—continues the tightening trend we saw take shape this spring.

Inventory vs. Demand: Are We Headed for Balance?

Month-over-month momentum looks promising, but economic jitters still weigh on decision-making. Many households are hesitant to dive in until they feel more secure about their jobs, rates, and the overall direction of the economy. Still, as inventory tapers and options dwindle, that hesitation could turn into competition sooner than later.

What’s Happening with Prices?

Condos Reach New High for 2025

While overall prices in the GTA trended downward, the condo segment quietly notched a win in June. The average condo price rose to $731,232—the highest it’s been all year. That’s up from $709,905 in May and significantly higher than where the year started at $691,039.

This steady upward trend—especially with June breaking the ceiling—could be an early signal of shifting demand. With lower entry points than detached homes and improved affordability, condos might be the segment to watch as momentum builds through summer.

Detached Prices Cool Off After Strong Start

Detached homes, meanwhile, saw a different trajectory in the first half of 2025. After peaking in February at $1,782,262, average prices for detached properties have gradually softened, settling at $1,641,868 in June. While still higher than January’s average of $1,579,386, the trend suggests a gradual cooldown from earlier highs.

Buyers in the detached segment may find more room to negotiate as prices ease off their earlier highs, especially with higher-carrying costs still weighing on the top end of the market.

Semi-Detached Homes Show Seasonal Resilience

Semi-detached properties had a relatively stable run through the first half of 2025. While they haven’t reached a new peak since March’s high of $1,337,498, June’s average price of $1,278,434 still sits comfortably above where the year began.

The numbers suggest a segment that’s holding firm despite broader market softening—offering a middle ground between affordability and space that continues to resonate with move-up buyers.

Townhomes Ride the Seasonal Wave

Townhomes had a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with prices fluctuating month to month. After peaking in February at $1,028,339, the average townhome price slid back to $957,605 in June. While that’s still above January’s average of $941,893, the segment appears more sensitive to broader affordability pressures.

For buyers, this could present a timely opportunity—especially for those seeking more space than a condo offers but without stretching to a detached price point.

Overall Price Summary

June’s average selling price landed at $1,101,691, representing a 5.4% drop year-over-year. The MLS Home Price Index Composite Benchmark also dipped 5.5% compared to June 2024. Month-over-month? Both the average price and HPI edged slightly lower from May.

This downward pressure on pricing isn’t new—it’s been with us for several months—but it continues to create an entry point for buyers who were previously priced out.

Price Chart – YoY and MoM Breakdown

Metric	June 2024	May 2025	June 2025	% Change YoY	% Change MoM
Average Price	$1,164,714	$1,110,905	$1,101,691	-5.4%	-0.8%

What’s Fueling (or Delaying) the Recovery?

The market isn’t just reacting to supply and demand—it’s heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. According to TRREB CIO Jason Mercer, a firm U.S. trade deal and two more expected rate cuts could help “make monthly mortgage payments more comfortable for average GTA households.” That added affordability, paired with improved consumer confidence, could push the recovery into higher gear.

But as of now, buyers are taking their time. Inflation progress has been choppy, and many are still skeptical that rates will come down fast enough to offset homeownership risks.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Know Right Now

For Buyers:

More listings mean more choice—and leverage.
Sellers are increasingly open to negotiation.
Lower borrowing costs = better affordability, even if only modestly improved.

For Sellers:

Price competitively to attract attention.
The tightening trend could benefit well-prepared listings.
With some buyers still on the sidelines, it’s not a frenzy—but serious shoppers are out there.

Final Thoughts: Recovery in Progress, but Far from Over

June continued the pattern we’ve seen throughout spring—a cautious, buyer-empowered market where affordability is slowly improving, but uncertainty still clouds the outlook. The next few months will be crucial. If confidence improves and rates continue to ease, Toronto’s real estate market could be poised for a steadier rebound – but who knows!

Curious what this means for your next move? Reach out by dropping us a message below—we’ll help you navigate the numbers and the nuance.

Jun 06

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Tree lined residential street with older two story Tudor style

Toronto Real Estate Market Update – May 2025

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

For buyers, sellers, and the real estate-curious, the numbers are in—and they’re telling a story of supply, hesitation, and opportunity.

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board’s (TRREB) May 2025 data, GTA home sales dropped 13.3% year-over-year, totaling 6,244 transactions. Meanwhile, new listings surged by 14% with 21,819 homes hitting the market. That pushed active listings up a striking 41.5% compared to last May, with some months earlier this year even seeing inventory jumps north of 70%.

But more choice hasn’t translated to more action. The average home price slid 4% from May 2024, now sitting at $1,120,879. And homes are taking longer to sell—TRREB data aligns with what we’re seeing on the ground: even well-staged, competitively priced homes are sitting longer than they did last spring (nearly 40 days, in total)

Property Type Insights

If 2021 was the year of the condo bidding war, 2025 is shaping up to be the condo cooldown.

Condo sales dropped a sharp 25% year-over-year. In fact, TRREB notes that fewer condos are trading hands now than during the early ‘90s.

Detached homes haven’t fared much better, but not all segments are in the red. In the 416, semi-detached homes and townhouses posted modest gains—up 1.5% and 3.4%, respectively—indicating that more budget-conscious buyers may be shifting focus to multi-family options.

Economic Factors Influencing the Market

So, what’s behind the slowdown? It’s not just prices or mortgage rates—it’s confidence.

Yes, borrowing costs are down slightly compared to last year, and yes, prices have dipped. But the real wildcard appears to be economic uncertainty.

The Bank of Canada has held its benchmark rate at 2.75% for two consecutive months, offering cautious optimism—but with the federal government’s latest Throne Speech reiterating housing promises without delivering timelines, many buyers remain on the sidelines.

Still, not all economic indicators are gloomy. Inflation cooled to 1.7% in April, and with unemployment rising to 7%, a rate cut could be on the table this summer—a move that would be particularly welcome for first-time buyers and those up for renewal.

Rental Market Dynamics

While the resale market softens, Toronto’s rental market tells a different tale. Rents are creeping up month-over-month, with average unfurnished one-bedrooms renting for $2,148. That’s a 1.02% increase from April, though still about $91 cheaper than the same time last year.

The real shift is in inventory—tenants now have far more options. For landlords, that means more competition. For renters, it may mean finally finding a place that ticks all the boxes—without a bidding war.

Navigating the Current Market

We’re in a transitional phase, not a tailspin. And with change comes strategy.

Buyers: You now have time on your side. Properties are sitting longer, sellers are more flexible, and your window to negotiate has widened. But don’t let analysis paralysis cost you a great home—especially with the potential for rate cuts later this year.

Sellers: The days of ‘list Friday, sold Monday’ are behind us—for now. In a crowded market, pricing smart and staging well are your new best friends. We’re advising our clients to lead with value and market with intention.

Everyone else: Whether you’re upsizing, downsizing, or simply trying to make sense of it all, the right advice matters more than ever. Every neighbourhood, property type, and price band tells a different story.

Thinking of buying or selling in this shifting market?

Let’s talk strategy. Whether you’re looking for your next home or need guidance on listing in today’s conditions, we’re here to help – Book a consultation or reach out anytime.

May 01

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April 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Recap

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

April in Review – Affordability Improves, But Confidence Lags

Toronto’s spring market has always set the tone for the year ahead—and April 2025 was no exception. Realtors in the GTA recorded 6,244 sales in May (reflecting April activity), a 13.3% decline from the same time last year. But while the numbers might seem underwhelming, the mood on the ground tells a more nuanced story.

New listings jumped to 21,819, marking a 14% increase year-over-year. That means buyers suddenly have options—a refreshing change after years of limited inventory. With more supply comes less competition, fewer bidding wars, and more room to negotiate.

TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule put it succinctly: “Buyers have certainly benefited from greater choice and improved affordability this year. However, each neighbourhood and market segment have their own nuances.”

Translation: the market is shifting, but your experience will depend on where—and what—you’re buying.

Buyers Have Leverage—So What’s Holding Them Back?

Affordability has improved. Mortgage rates have eased slightly. Listings are up. In theory, this should be a slam dunk for buyers. And yet? Many remain cautious.

The average selling price in the GTA was $1,120,879, down 4% year-over-year. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark slipped further, down 4.5%. Still, both measures edged up slightly month-over-month, hinting that prices might be stabilizing.

So, what gives? It’s not just about numbers—it’s about confidence and at the moment, there isn’t a whole lot of it!

Want to track the financial factors influencing real estate? Canada Mortgage Trends and Bank of Canada rate updates are great places to start.

Signs of Life: Month-over-Month Momentum

Despite a cooler year-over-year picture, recent momentum is pointing upward. April to May sales increased for the second straight month. While new listings also rose, they didn’t outpace sales—suggesting mild tightening in market conditions.

Does this mean a full recovery is underway? Not quite. But well-priced, move-in-ready homes—especially in transit-connected or walkable areas—are starting to attract serious attention.

Want a deep dive into the data? TRREB Market Watch has you covered.

What We’re Seeing On the Ground

Here’s what we’re noticing from our conversations and showing schedules:

Buyers are crunching the numbers first—and only booking viewings when the math makes sense.
Sellers who price realistically (think: post-peak expectations) are getting action. Overpriced listings? Not so much.
In-demand areas like the Junction, St. Clair West, and Leslieville continue to draw steady interest—especially for family-friendly, move-in-ready homes.

Got your eye on something unique? Explore Lofts for Sale in Toronto to see what’s out there.

What’s Next? Rate Cuts, Supply Fixes, and Opportunity Windows

TRREB has emphasized that government follow-through on housing initiatives is critical. That means:

Lowering excessive taxes and fees
Speeding up permitting
Encouraging innovation in housing construction

TRREB CEO John DiMichele also noted that a rate cut, especially with inflation cooling, would be a welcome boost for both new buyers and those renewing their mortgages.

Stay informed with:

Final Take – Opportunity, If You’re Ready

Toronto’s April market felt like the start of something. Prices dipped, listings rose, and with that came renewed breathing room. While macroeconomic jitters haven’t vanished, motivated buyers are quietly stepping forward.

If you’re planning a move, now’s a great time to get your ducks in a row—before competition heats up again.

Book a Buyer Consultation to map out your next steps, or send us a message using the form below!

Apr 03

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March 2025 Market Update: More Listings, Lower Prices

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

Let’s kick things off with some good news: homeownership in the GTA just got a little more affordable. Compared to March 2024, borrowing costs are down, home prices have dipped, and monthly payments are easing. For would-be buyers, that’s a welcome shift after years of relentless price growth and tight supply. Sounds like a win, right?

Well… yes and no.

Inventory Surges While Sales Slow

According to TRREB, 5,011 homes sold in March 2025 — a sharp 23.1% decline compared to the same time last year. Meanwhile, 17,263 new listings hit the market, representing a 28.6% year-over-year increase. That’s a notable rise in inventory, but fewer transactions are closing.

This growing disconnect between supply and demand signals a deeper shift in buyer behaviour. Whether it’s higher interest rates earlier in the year, uncertainty around employment, or just the overwhelming number of options, buyers are taking their time. They’re comparing, calculating, and — more often than not — waiting.

“Once consumers feel confident in the economy and their job security, home buying activity should improve,” said TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule.

In other words, this is more about psychology than pricing. Confidence — or the lack of it — continues to shape how and when deals get done.

Prices Dip, Then Flatten

The MLS® Home Price Index Composite benchmark dropped 3.8% year-over-year, while the average selling price landed at $1,093,254, a 2.5% decline from March 2024.

Month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis? Prices were essentially flat. That stability could suggest we’re nearing the bottom of the current price cycle. While that doesn’t mean prices will suddenly rebound, it does imply we may be entering a phase of price normalization, where the swings aren’t as dramatic — at least for now.

Across the GTA, pockets of opportunity are emerging. Detached homes in outer-416 zones, for instance, are seeing greater price flexibility. And for first-time buyers? Smaller condos, especially in older buildings, may offer better value than they have in recent memory.

More Affordable, But Buyers Are Cautious

The silver lining this month is clear: affordability has improved. With lower borrowing costs, more listings to choose from, and sellers increasingly open to negotiation, buyers have the kind of leverage that was virtually unheard of just a few years ago.

Yet many are still cautious. Why?

Between federal election buzz, trade policy uncertainty, sticky inflation, and concerns about job security, it’s a cocktail of hesitation. Add in memories of recent market volatility — and for some, declining home equity — and it makes sense that people want to be sure before making big moves.

“Home buyers need to feel their employment situation is solid before committing to monthly mortgage payments over the long term,” added TRREB’s Jason Mercer.

Anecdotally, we’re seeing more conditional offers, longer decision cycles, and increased reliance on financial advisors and mortgage pre-approvals. This isn’t panic — it’s prudence. And in today’s market, that mindset is driving the tempo.

What We’re Watching This Spring

Interest Rate Decisions – Expected cuts from the Bank of Canada could further ease borrowing pressure. If rates fall meaningfully, expect renewed interest in the detached segment.
Election Promises – Housing is a key issue across party platforms. Will that turn into meaningful action? Policy clarity could push more buyers off the fence.
Buyer Sentiment – Confidence is still the wildcard. If job numbers remain strong and inflation cools, momentum could shift quickly. Until then, a cautious optimism prevails.
Investor Activity – With prices soft and rents holding, some investors are eyeing re-entry — particularly in mid-rise buildings and transit-connected nodes.
Spring Showings Volume – Foot traffic at open houses is up, but conversions remain slow. If we see a rise in accepted offers heading into May, that may mark a true turning point.

Final Thoughts

Yes, affordability is improving and options are expanding. But for now, many buyers are keeping their hands in their pockets. That said, markets like this can create rare opportunities — especially for those willing to move when others wait.

If you’re thinking about buying, selling, or just want to understand where you stand, let’s talk. Whether you’re upsizing, downsizing, or exploring a new neighbourhood, we’ll walk you through what’s moving (and what’s not) — and help you navigate every step with clarity.