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Nov 06
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October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Monthly Market Updates

After a quieter summer and a cautious start to the fall market, October delivered the clearest sign yet that Toronto’s real estate landscape is stabilizing. Sales activity continued to improve, inventory eased from September’s surge, and prices held firm month-over-month. While the market is not roaring forward, October showed a meaningful shift in sentiment as buyers re-engaged and competition tightened slightly across several segments.

Below is a full breakdown of how the market performed and what it means for buyers and sellers heading into the final stretch of the year.

October at a Glance

  • Sales: Up 9.76% month-over-month
  • New Listings: Down 16.57% month-over-month
  • Active Listings: Down 5.40% month-over-month
  • Average GTA Price: Down 0.47% month-over-month
  • Average Days on Market: 50 days (down from 51 in September)
October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update
October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

GTA Market Overview

October delivered a second consecutive month of sales growth, rising nearly 10% from September. Buyers who had previously stepped to the sidelines over the summer began returning, encouraged by improved affordability expectations, increased negotiation power, and a sense that prices may have reached a temporary floor after months of softening.

Inventory also pulled back in October. New listings dropped more than 16% month-over-month, and active listings declined just over 5%. While supply remains higher than last year, the month-over-month easing helped bring the market closer to balance. With fewer new listings coming online, sellers benefited from slightly less competition than they faced in September.

Prices remained stable, dipping less than half a percent. Considering the broader downward pressure over the past year, October’s minimal price movement suggests values may be flattening as the market finds an equilibrium between what sellers are willing to accept and what buyers are prepared to pay.

Key Takeaway: October showed improving buyer engagement and tightening inventory – two key ingredients for price stabilization.

Key Market Drivers in October

Improved Buyer Confidence
The fall market saw stronger engagement as buyers adjusted to borrowing costs and gained clarity around pricing. This confidence translated into increased sales activity across both freehold and condo segments.

Inventory Eased After a September Surge
September’s spike in listings created temporary pressure on prices. With fewer new listings in October, buyers had less choice, helping restore some balance.

Price Stability Encouraged Move-Ups and First-Timers
Stable pricing helped both move-up buyers and first-time purchasers make more confident decisions, especially in the condo and semi-detached segments.

GTA Market Performance: Month-Over-Month

  • Sales increased by 9.76% (+546 sales)
  • New listings declined by 16.57% (-3,191 listings)
  • Active listings dropped by 5.40% (-1,586 listings)
  • Average price decreased slightly by 0.47% (-$5,005)
  • Days on Market improved from 51 to 50 days

Key Takeaway: The combination of rising sales and falling listings is a positive directional shift for market balance.

GTA Market Performance: Year-Over-Year

  • Sales down 7.81% from October 2024
  • New listings up 4.83% from last year
  • Active listings up 13.59% from last year
  • Average price down 7.12% year-over-year (-$80,843)
  • Days on Market up 16.28% from last year (+7 days)

Key Takeaway: While the month-to-month narrative has improved, year-over-year comparisons continue to show a softer market with more choice and lower prices than last fall.

416 Market Breakdown by Property Type

Sales Activity (Month-Over-Month)

  • Detached: Up 10.67% (+72 sales)
  • Semi-Detached: Up 22.90% (+49 sales)
  • Townhouse: Up 13.64% (+30 sales)
  • Condo: Up 14.04% (+132 sales)

Sales growth was seen across all housing types, marking one of the broadest improvements this year. Semi-detached homes led the month, followed closely by the condo sector, which regained momentum after a slower summer.

Key Takeaway: Buyer interest strengthened across all segments, showing renewed confidence in the market.

Pricing Trends (Month-Over-Month)

  • Detached: Down 3.97% (-$66,966)
  • Semi-Detached: Up 3.18% (+$37,582)
  • Townhouse: Down 4.19% (-$38,919)
  • Condo: Up 2.66% (+$18,126)

Freehold properties saw mixed performance. Detached and townhouse values experienced modest declines, while semis posted the strongest price gains of the month. Condos also saw average prices rise, supported by an uptick in demand and more motivated fall buyers.

Key Takeaway: Semi-detached homes stood out as the strongest performer, while condos continue to offer value-driven opportunities for buyers.

October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update
October 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

What This Means for Buyers

With inventory easing and sales strengthening, buyers considering a purchase in the next three to six months may want to take advantage of current conditions. Prices have shown signs of stabilizing, and as competition picks up, the negotiation leverage seen through the summer could begin to narrow.

Key Takeaway: Buyers still hold advantages, but conditions are shifting. Acting before inventory tightens further could be beneficial.

What This Means for Sellers

October offered sellers a more encouraging landscape than earlier in the fall. With fewer new listings entering the market, properly priced homes saw more consistent showings and engagement. Attractive, well-prepared properties continue to see the strongest results.

Key Takeaway: Sellers who position their home strategically and price with the current market will find more motivated buyers than in recent months.

Our Take

October marked an important turning point for Toronto real estate. While we’re not seeing dramatic price growth or frenzied bidding wars, the combination of stronger sales and softer listing numbers suggests the market is working toward balance. Confidence has improved, and both freehold and condo buyers are moving more decisively than they did over the summer.

Heading into the final months of the year, the market appears more stable and predictable than it has been for most of 2025. For both buyers and sellers, clarity is returning, and informed strategies are key. As always, reach out any time if you’d like to learn more!

Oct 16
Love0
530 St. Clair

September 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Monthly Market Updates

September brought a noticeable pulse back to the Greater Toronto Area housing market. TRREB reported 5,592 homes sold across the region — an 8.5% increase compared to the same time last year. This rebound comes alongside a 4% increase in new listings, with 19,260 properties entering the market.

While activity picked up, prices continued their modest retreat. The MLS Home Price Index Composite Benchmark dipped 5.5% year-over-year, while the average selling price landed at $1,059,377, down 4.7% annually. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the average price held relatively flat month-over-month (up 0.2%), while the benchmark dipped slightly (-0.5%).

With more homes for sale and increased buyer negotiation power, the market remained competitive — but not chaotic. This remains a market driven by opportunity-seeking buyers and realistic sellers.

Interest Rates & Economic Backdrop

After holding steady for months, the Bank of Canada announced a much-anticipated rate cut in September — lowering its key policy rate to 2.50%.

The move came in response to softening inflation, weaker job creation, and ongoing global trade challenges. It also provided a notable psychological and financial boost for homebuyers, many of whom had been sidelined by borrowing constraints.

Lower rates mean more manageable monthly payments — especially for variable-rate borrowers or those renewing mortgages. According to Global News, some households are now able to qualify for homes that had previously been out of reach.

Expectations are building for two more 25-bps cuts before spring 2026. If realized, this could significantly improve affordability metrics and buyer confidence.

Deep Dive: Sales, Listings & Price Trends

The September landscape was defined by:

  • More sales: 5,592 transactions (up 8.5% YoY)
  • More choice: 19,260 new listings (up 4% YoY)
  • Lower prices: Benchmark HPI down 5.5%, average price down 4.7%
  • Subtle shift: Sales up vs August, but listings down → signs of slight tightening in certain pockets

This mild tightening suggests some segments — especially entry-level freeholds and move-in-ready condos — may see more bidding activity heading into the fall.

Condo Market & Our Brokerage Lens

Here’s where things got interesting for us at Toronto Livings.

While broader TRREB data showed continued softness in the condo market, our listings told a different story. Every condo we had on the market in September sold faster than expected — often within a week, and in some cases with multiple offers.

Buyers seem to be responding to three things:

  1. Relative affordability: Condos offer a lower price point for end-users and investors alike.
  2. Inventory balance: With listings plateauing, urgency is returning.
  3. Renewed investor appetite: Lower rates + strong rental demand = better ROI math.

This isn’t a market-wide shift yet — but it’s a trend we’re watching closely, especially downtown and in midtown nodes like Yonge & Eglinton and Liberty Village.

What Buyers & Sellers Should Watch

For buyers:

  • Affordability is trending in your favour. Lower mortgage rates = more purchasing power.
  • There’s still room to negotiate. Prices are down YoY, and sellers are motivated.

For sellers:

  • Well-prepped, well-priced homes are moving. Especially in the condo and mid-tier freehold space.
  • Professional staging, marketing, and pricing strategy matter more than ever.

For everyone:

  • Inventory may tighten further if new listings continue to slow and sales ramp up.
  • October and November often bring strategic buying opportunities before the winter slowdown.

Outlook & Forecast

TRREB expects 76,000 total sales by year-end, with modest price growth returning in early 2026 — assuming more rate cuts are on the table.

But there are caveats:

  • Construction activity is falling — new housing starts have slowed considerably.
  • Policy coordination is lacking — TRREB is calling for better alignment between all levels of government and industry players.
  • Supply chain and labour constraints continue to weigh on delivery timelines.

Still, with borrowing costs easing and buyer sentiment rising, the stage may be set for a more active close to the year.

Thinking of making a move this fall? Let’s talk — the market may offer more opportunities than you think.

Jul 07
Love0
Condo by the lake

June 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Monthly Market Updates

Real estate in Toronto took another small step toward affordability in June. With borrowing costs and average selling prices still trailing last year’s levels, more buyers are beginning to test the waters—even if many are still playing the waiting game.

The housing market showed further signs of recovery in June, as buyers benefited from a growing number of listings. With more inventory to choose from, many were able to negotiate below asking prices—an early sign that market leverage is beginning to tip back toward buyers.

Sales and Listings: Market Gains Traction (Sort Of)

Realtors reported 6,243 sales through the MLS System in June—a modest 2.4% dip compared to June 2024. However, new listings jumped 7.7% year-over-year, reaching 19,839 properties.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, sales were up compared to May 2025, while new listings were down. That combination—more buying activity and slightly less inventory—continues the tightening trend we saw take shape this spring.

Inventory vs. Demand: Are We Headed for Balance?

Month-over-month momentum looks promising, but economic jitters still weigh on decision-making. Many households are hesitant to dive in until they feel more secure about their jobs, rates, and the overall direction of the economy. Still, as inventory tapers and options dwindle, that hesitation could turn into competition sooner than later.

What’s Happening with Prices?

Condos Reach New High for 2025

While overall prices in the GTA trended downward, the condo segment quietly notched a win in June. The average condo price rose to $731,232—the highest it’s been all year. That’s up from $709,905 in May and significantly higher than where the year started at $691,039.

This steady upward trend—especially with June breaking the ceiling—could be an early signal of shifting demand. With lower entry points than detached homes and improved affordability, condos might be the segment to watch as momentum builds through summer.

Foxbar Condo

Detached Prices Cool Off After Strong Start

Detached homes, meanwhile, saw a different trajectory in the first half of 2025. After peaking in February at $1,782,262, average prices for detached properties have gradually softened, settling at $1,641,868 in June. While still higher than January’s average of $1,579,386, the trend suggests a gradual cooldown from earlier highs.

Buyers in the detached segment may find more room to negotiate as prices ease off their earlier highs, especially with higher-carrying costs still weighing on the top end of the market.

Semi-Detached Homes Show Seasonal Resilience

Semi-detached properties had a relatively stable run through the first half of 2025. While they haven’t reached a new peak since March’s high of $1,337,498, June’s average price of $1,278,434 still sits comfortably above where the year began.

The numbers suggest a segment that’s holding firm despite broader market softening—offering a middle ground between affordability and space that continues to resonate with move-up buyers.

Townhomes Ride the Seasonal Wave

Townhomes had a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with prices fluctuating month to month. After peaking in February at $1,028,339, the average townhome price slid back to $957,605 in June. While that’s still above January’s average of $941,893, the segment appears more sensitive to broader affordability pressures.

For buyers, this could present a timely opportunity—especially for those seeking more space than a condo offers but without stretching to a detached price point.

Overall Price Summary

June’s average selling price landed at $1,101,691, representing a 5.4% drop year-over-year. The MLS Home Price Index Composite Benchmark also dipped 5.5% compared to June 2024. Month-over-month? Both the average price and HPI edged slightly lower from May.

This downward pressure on pricing isn’t new—it’s been with us for several months—but it continues to create an entry point for buyers who were previously priced out.

Price Chart – YoY and MoM Breakdown

MetricJune 2024May 2025June 2025% Change YoY% Change MoM
Average Price$1,164,714$1,110,905$1,101,691-5.4%-0.8%

What’s Fueling (or Delaying) the Recovery?

The market isn’t just reacting to supply and demand—it’s heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. According to TRREB CIO Jason Mercer, a firm U.S. trade deal and two more expected rate cuts could help “make monthly mortgage payments more comfortable for average GTA households.” That added affordability, paired with improved consumer confidence, could push the recovery into higher gear.

But as of now, buyers are taking their time. Inflation progress has been choppy, and many are still skeptical that rates will come down fast enough to offset homeownership risks.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Know Right Now

For Buyers:

  • More listings mean more choice—and leverage.
  • Sellers are increasingly open to negotiation.
  • Lower borrowing costs = better affordability, even if only modestly improved.

For Sellers:

  • Price competitively to attract attention.
  • The tightening trend could benefit well-prepared listings.
  • With some buyers still on the sidelines, it’s not a frenzy—but serious shoppers are out there.

Final Thoughts: Recovery in Progress, but Far from Over

June continued the pattern we’ve seen throughout spring—a cautious, buyer-empowered market where affordability is slowly improving, but uncertainty still clouds the outlook. The next few months will be crucial. If confidence improves and rates continue to ease, Toronto’s real estate market could be poised for a steadier rebound – but who knows!

Curious what this means for your next move? Reach out by dropping us a message below—we’ll help you navigate the numbers and the nuance.