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Jun 01
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May Market Update

Toronto Real Estate Market Update: May 2026

By Monthly Market Updates

Spring has brought some welcome momentum back to the Toronto Real Estate market, and after a slow start to the year, I’m seeing that show up clearly in the May numbers. Sales are accelerating, inventory is tightening relative to demand, and prices look like they’re starting to find a floor. Here’s my read on what happened this month and what it could mean if you’re thinking about buying or selling this summer.

The Headline Numbers

6,583 homes sold across the GTA in May — up 6.3% from the 6,195 we saw in May 2025. New listings, meanwhile, fell to 17,698, down 18.9% year-over-year. More buyers, fewer new options: that combination is really the whole story of this spring.

It’s also month three of a trend. Sales rose year-over-year in March, April, and May, after dipping in January and February.

MonthSalesNew ListingsActive ListingsAvg. Price
January3,08210,77417,975$973,289
February3,86810,70519,314$1,008,968
March5,03914,44221,596$1,017,796
April5,94617,09725,110$1,051,969
May6,58317,69826,927$1,069,700

Seasonally adjusted, sales were up 10% over April, while new listings dipped 2.1%!

Prices: Down Year-Over-Year, But Leveling Off

The average selling price hit $1,069,700 in May which was 4.6% below last year. The broader MLS HPI Composite benchmark, which smooths out the mix of what’s actually selling, was down a steeper 6.7% year-over-year.

Here’s the more interesting part, though: on a seasonally adjusted basis, prices actually ticked up slightly month-over-month, and the pace of the year-over-year decline has been easing for a while now. If sales keep strengthening the way they have been, it could indicate we’re closer to a floor than a further slide.

Worth a caveat here: the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% for a fifth straight meeting in June, citing elevated oil prices and ongoing trade uncertainty. And fixed mortgage rates have actually crept up recently as bond yields responded to the same geopolitical noise. So while May’s affordability story leaned partly on borrowing costs, that tailwind may be less reliable heading into summer than it looked a month ago.

How the City of Toronto Performed by Home Type

Zooming into the 416 specifically, detached homes led the charge:

Home TypeSales (416, May 2026)Avg. Price (416, May 2026)YoY SalesYoY Price
Detached846$1,610,988+8.9%-6.5%
Semi-Detached283$1,293,268+2.5%+0.6%
Townhouse222$953,982-17.5%-5.5%
Condo Apartment1,009$673,841+4.2%-5.0%

Detached and semi-detached sales grew nicely, while townhouses pulled back… but keep in mind, this is a smaller, more volatile segment where a handful of deals can swing the percentage. Condos, the city’s most crowded category, kept selling in decent volume even as prices softened. Not exactly a comeback tour for condo pricing, but the sales activity suggests demand may be coming back (but slooooowly)

Buyers Still Have Room to Negotiate — For Now

Average days on market landed at 42 in May, down from a January high of 67. That said, homes are still taking a few days longer to sell than they did in May 2025 — which tells me buyers heading into early summer still hold some leverage. Whether that window stays open through July and August is the real question to watch.

Year-to-Date Snapshot

Through the first five months of 2026, GTA sales sit at 24,405 — essentially flat against 24,653 over the same stretch last year. New listings are the bigger story: down to 70,768 from 83,441. Fewer new homes hitting the market, roughly steady demand, that’s the recipe behind the tightening we’ve been tracking all spring.

My Take

I think May reflects real, if fragile, improvement. Buyers came back, listings didn’t keep pace, and prices are behaving like a market finding its footing rather than one still falling. Ontario’s Bill 98 received Royal Assent in early June, aiming to speed up housing approvals and lower development costs province-wide — a trend to watch for anyone thinking about the next few years of supply, not just this summer’s showings.

Will the second half of the year keep this pace up? That depends a lot on interest rates, oil prices, and whether the “affordability improving” story can hold up if borrowing costs tick the wrong way. For now, though, the numbers are a promising sign after a rough start to the year.

Curious what this means for your specific neighbourhood or situation? I’m always happy to chat — reach out anytime, or sign up for monthly market updates straight to your inbox.

Apr 03
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March Real Estate Market Update

Toronto Real Estate Market Update: March 2026

By Monthly Market Updates

Toronto buyers didn’t need a calendar to know winter had overstayed its welcome. Between the snow, the slush, and two straight months of staying indoors, January and February were quiet for reasons that had nothing to do with mortgage rates or listing prices. Then March showed up — and so did the buyers.

The Headline: Sales Finally Turn a Corner

The Toronto Real Estate Board reported 5,039 home sales in March 2026, up 1.7% year-over-year — the first annual increase the region had seen since last September. Sales also climbed 30% month-over-month from February, which is a bigger jump than typical seasonality alone would explain. Clear roads and longer daylight hours don’t show up in a market report, but they clearly showed up in showing schedules.

TRREB President Daniel Steinfeld called it “encouraging,” noting that more GTA households appear ready to take advantage of improved affordability as the spring market gets underway. For a market that’s spent over a year in buyer’s-market territory, that’s a notable shift in tone.

March Real Estate Market Update

What the Numbers Actually Show

Here’s March 2026 at a glance:

  • Sales: 5,039 (+1.7% YoY, +30.3% MoM)
  • New listings: 14,442 (-16.7% YoY, +34.9% MoM)
  • Active listings: 21,596 (-8% YoY, +11.8% MoM)
  • Average price: $1,017,796 (-6.7% YoY)
  • MLS® HPI Composite: down 7.4% YoY
  • Average days on market: 47

New listings are down sharply from last year, but sales grew faster than listings on a seasonally adjusted basis — a sign, per TRREB, that conditions are tightening even with prices still soft. In the City of Toronto specifically, 1,913 sales closed the month, up a modest 0.9% year-over-year.

That’s worth sitting with for a second: sales are up, prices are still down. As confusing as that may sound, it’s exactly what a market looks like when buyers still have the upper hand on negotiating, and are starting to use it.

Detached, Semis, Townhomes & Condos — Who’s Moving

Not every property type moved at the same pace:

Home TypeMarch 2026 SalesAverage Price
Detached574$1,613,066
Semi-Detached170$1,231,967
Townhouse207$959,513
Condo Apartment951$648,287

Condos remained the highest-volume segment by sales count, but they’re also where price softness has been most persistent (a pattern that’s held for much of the past year). Detached homes, by contrast, continue to command a premium and have held their value more consistently. If you’ve been eyeing the condo market, this could be one of those “trend to watch” moments worth keeping an eye on through the spring.

Why Buyers Still Hold the Cards

Two things kept affordability front and centre in March. First, the Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18 — its second hold of the year — with inflation easing to 1.8% and the labour market still soft. That stability (for now) means borrowing costs aren’t adding new pressure on top of already-cautious buyers.

Second, buyers simply have more room to negotiate than they’ve had in years. TRREB’s Jason Mercer put it plainly: buyers continued to benefit from “substantial negotiating power” on price, which is exactly why average and benchmark prices are still down year-over-year even as sales pick up. If you’re a first-time buyer trying to figure out how far your down payment can stretch, tools like the FHSA are worth another look in this kind of market.

March Real Estate Market Update

What’s Next — Spring Outlook

Not every forecast is popping champagne just yet. TD Economics recently trimmed its 2026 outlook, now expecting sales to dip slightly and prices to ease modestly nationally — a notable pullback from its earlier call for solid gains in both sales and price. That’s a fair reminder that one good month doesn’t undo a year of caution.

That said, March gave us something worth watching: sales growing faster than listings, buyers stepping off the sidelines, and the first real signs of seasonal momentum. If that trend holds through April and May, this could be the point where selling prices start to level off rather than keep sliding. Will it stick? Toronto’s spring market has surprised us before.

For the full monthly breakdown as it happens, head over to our market update hub or sign up for our monthly market updates so you’re never caught off guard.

Jul 07
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Condo by the lake

June 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Monthly Market Updates

Real estate in Toronto took another small step toward affordability in June. With borrowing costs and average selling prices still trailing last year’s levels, more buyers are beginning to test the waters—even if many are still playing the waiting game.

The housing market showed further signs of recovery in June, as buyers benefited from a growing number of listings. With more inventory to choose from, many were able to negotiate below asking prices—an early sign that market leverage is beginning to tip back toward buyers.

Sales and Listings: Market Gains Traction (Sort Of)

Realtors reported 6,243 sales through the MLS System in June—a modest 2.4% dip compared to June 2024. However, new listings jumped 7.7% year-over-year, reaching 19,839 properties.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, sales were up compared to May 2025, while new listings were down. That combination—more buying activity and slightly less inventory—continues the tightening trend we saw take shape this spring.

Inventory vs. Demand: Are We Headed for Balance?

Month-over-month momentum looks promising, but economic jitters still weigh on decision-making. Many households are hesitant to dive in until they feel more secure about their jobs, rates, and the overall direction of the economy. Still, as inventory tapers and options dwindle, that hesitation could turn into competition sooner than later.

What’s Happening with Prices?

Condos Reach New High for 2025

While overall prices in the GTA trended downward, the condo segment quietly notched a win in June. The average condo price rose to $731,232—the highest it’s been all year. That’s up from $709,905 in May and significantly higher than where the year started at $691,039.

This steady upward trend—especially with June breaking the ceiling—could be an early signal of shifting demand. With lower entry points than detached homes and improved affordability, condos might be the segment to watch as momentum builds through summer.

Foxbar Condo

Detached Prices Cool Off After Strong Start

Detached homes, meanwhile, saw a different trajectory in the first half of 2025. After peaking in February at $1,782,262, average prices for detached properties have gradually softened, settling at $1,641,868 in June. While still higher than January’s average of $1,579,386, the trend suggests a gradual cooldown from earlier highs.

Buyers in the detached segment may find more room to negotiate as prices ease off their earlier highs, especially with higher-carrying costs still weighing on the top end of the market.

Semi-Detached Homes Show Seasonal Resilience

Semi-detached properties had a relatively stable run through the first half of 2025. While they haven’t reached a new peak since March’s high of $1,337,498, June’s average price of $1,278,434 still sits comfortably above where the year began.

The numbers suggest a segment that’s holding firm despite broader market softening—offering a middle ground between affordability and space that continues to resonate with move-up buyers.

Townhomes Ride the Seasonal Wave

Townhomes had a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with prices fluctuating month to month. After peaking in February at $1,028,339, the average townhome price slid back to $957,605 in June. While that’s still above January’s average of $941,893, the segment appears more sensitive to broader affordability pressures.

For buyers, this could present a timely opportunity—especially for those seeking more space than a condo offers but without stretching to a detached price point.

Overall Price Summary

June’s average selling price landed at $1,101,691, representing a 5.4% drop year-over-year. The MLS Home Price Index Composite Benchmark also dipped 5.5% compared to June 2024. Month-over-month? Both the average price and HPI edged slightly lower from May.

This downward pressure on pricing isn’t new—it’s been with us for several months—but it continues to create an entry point for buyers who were previously priced out.

Price Chart – YoY and MoM Breakdown

MetricJune 2024May 2025June 2025% Change YoY% Change MoM
Average Price$1,164,714$1,110,905$1,101,691-5.4%-0.8%

What’s Fueling (or Delaying) the Recovery?

The market isn’t just reacting to supply and demand—it’s heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors. According to TRREB CIO Jason Mercer, a firm U.S. trade deal and two more expected rate cuts could help “make monthly mortgage payments more comfortable for average GTA households.” That added affordability, paired with improved consumer confidence, could push the recovery into higher gear.

But as of now, buyers are taking their time. Inflation progress has been choppy, and many are still skeptical that rates will come down fast enough to offset homeownership risks.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Know Right Now

For Buyers:

  • More listings mean more choice—and leverage.
  • Sellers are increasingly open to negotiation.
  • Lower borrowing costs = better affordability, even if only modestly improved.

For Sellers:

  • Price competitively to attract attention.
  • The tightening trend could benefit well-prepared listings.
  • With some buyers still on the sidelines, it’s not a frenzy—but serious shoppers are out there.

Final Thoughts: Recovery in Progress, but Far from Over

June continued the pattern we’ve seen throughout spring—a cautious, buyer-empowered market where affordability is slowly improving, but uncertainty still clouds the outlook. The next few months will be crucial. If confidence improves and rates continue to ease, Toronto’s real estate market could be poised for a steadier rebound – but who knows!

Curious what this means for your next move? Reach out by dropping us a message below—we’ll help you navigate the numbers and the nuance.

Mar 01
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Aerial view of the Joel Weeks Park in Toronto

February 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Monthly Market Updates

A Cooler Month, But Buyers Hold the Advantage

February 2025 delivered another month of subdued sales across the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) real estate market—but for buyers, the upside was choice. TRREB reported just 4,037 sales through the MLS system, marking a 27.4% decline compared to the same time last year. However, new listings climbed 5.4% year-over-year to reach 12,066. That surge in inventory gave buyers the upper hand in negotiations, especially those less reliant on financing.

So why the slowdown? In a word: affordability. Mortgage rates are still biting into monthly budgets, keeping many would-be buyers on the sidelines – the desire to buy is there, but the numbers don’t yet pencil out for the average household.

Average Prices Dip—But There’s Context

With demand down and supply up, prices followed suit. The average selling price across the GTA landed at $1,084,547 in February—down 2.2% from a year earlier. The MLS Home Price Index (HPI) Composite benchmark dipped 1.8% over the same period.

Month-over-month metrics (adjusted for seasonality) also edged slightly lower, suggesting softness in the short term. But this isn’t necessarily a red flag. Market lulls this time of year aren’t unusual, and we’re still navigating some choppy economic waters.

Confidence in Limbo: Rates, Trade & Political Unknowns

Beyond borrowing costs, there’s a broader confidence issue brewing. TRREB Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer highlighted that some buyers appear to be adopting a wait-and-see mindset. Concerns about Canada’s trade relationship with the U.S. and uncertainty around provincial and federal housing policies have added to the hesitancy.

What happens next may come down to two things: policy clarity and interest rate direction. A decline in borrowing costs—which many economists expect by mid-2025—could help reinvigorate the market. But consumers will likely want more reassurance about economic stability before jumping in.

What to Watch for This Spring

There’s still room for optimism as we move toward the busier spring market. A few key things to watch:

  • Rate relief: Even a modest drop could expand affordability for first-time buyers.
  • Inventory pressure: With listings up, sellers may need to sharpen their pricing.
  • Confidence comeback: If political and trade tensions cool, pent-up demand could be unleashed.

We’re not in recovery mode just yet—but the foundation is being laid.

Should You Buy Now or Wait?

The answer depends on your situation. For upsizers, downsizers, and cash-ready buyers, today’s inventory-heavy market offers more choice and more leverage than we’ve seen in years. If you’re in a position to act, this lull could be an opportunity.

That said, if your budget is tightly tied to interest rates, waiting a few more months could mean accessing more purchasing power.

One thing remains clear: Toronto’s real estate market is still very neighbourhood-driven. While the overall stats show a slowdown, specific pockets might tell a different story. As always, smart strategy starts with local insight.

Want to chat further? Send us a message below!

Jan 03
Love0
Winter on Toronto Islands CN tower

Toronto Real Estate Market Update: What December 2024 Revealed About a Year in Transition

By Monthly Market Updates

According to the Calendar… It’s December. According to the Market… We’re in Transition.

2024 ended with more listings, a little more movement, and still a whole lot of waiting. While many hoped for a year of price rebounds, what we got was something far more nuanced: a market full of choice, cautious optimism, and plenty of negotiating room—especially in the condo space.

So, what did December numbers—and the year as a whole—really tell us?

Let’s dig in.

Toronto’s December Market at a Glance

Sales + Listings Snapshot

December closed out with 3,359 home sales across the GTA—a slight dip compared to the same time last year. That said, new listings continued to rise, extending the fall trend of a market that’s heavy on supply and light on urgency.

Prices Stay Subdued

The average selling price for December sat at $1,067,186, down marginally year-over-year. The MLS® Home Price Index Composite Benchmark ticked up by less than 1%, pointing to price stability, not growth.

In short: prices didn’t crash, but they didn’t climb either.

2024 in Review – A Market Defined by Caution and Choice

Year-End Totals

  • Total 2024 sales: 67,610 (↑ 2.6% from 2023)
  • New listings: 166,121 (↑ 16.4%)
  • Average price: $1,117,600 (↓ 0.8%)

Inventory grew at a much faster pace than buyer activity. The result? More selection, more time to make decisions, and more leverage for those who were ready to buy.

Why Buyers Held the Upper Hand

Two words: interest rates.

High borrowing costs remained a major hurdle for much of the year. While many homeowners stayed put, buyers were only willing to act when the price—and the carrying cost—was right. That restraint kept prices in check and pushed sellers to meet the market.

Houses Held Strong—Condos, Not So Much

Detached and Semi Sales Rebounded

Ground-oriented homes saw a modest bounce. In fact, single-family home sales were up in 2024—especially in the 416, where family-friendly inventory remains tight. Prices here held up better thanks to ongoing demand and less investor involvement.

Condos Took a Hit

The condo market, on the other hand, faced a tougher climb. Many first-time buyers continued to wait for deeper rate cuts, while investor interest waned under the pressure of high holding costs.

Bottom line: it was a soft year for condos, especially in the downtown core.

What Changed Mid-Year? Two Words: Interest Rates

The Bank of Canada issued two back-to-back rate cuts in the second half of 2024—moves that many hoped would reignite activity. And while the full impact hasn’t played out yet, it did shift buyer sentiment.

By year-end, some sidelined buyers began to re-engage—but cautiously. The next few months will show whether this was just window shopping or the start of a stronger market push.

What’s Next in 2025?

If borrowing costs continue to fall and prices remain below historic peaks, we could be in for a more active spring. That said, the gap between buyer expectations and seller reality hasn’t closed yet.

Expect condo prices to stay soft for now, while detached homes in desirable areas may attract more competition as affordability improves.

A few trends we’re watching:

  • Renewed interest in pre-construction condos (if incentives return)
  • Growing rental demand as buyers remain cautious

Final Thought – Still Watching, Still Waiting

Toronto’s real estate market didn’t boom or bust in 2024—it reshuffled.

With buyers calling the shots and sellers recalibrating, we’ve entered a phase that rewards patience, planning, and professional advice. Whether you’re considering upsizing, downsizing, or entering the market for the first time, early 2025 may offer one of the most balanced playing fields we’ve seen in years.

Ready to Make a Move?

If you’re thinking of buying, now might be one of the most negotiable markets we’ve seen in a while. And if you’re selling, strategy matters more than ever. Get touch with us by leaving a comment below!

Dec 01
Love0
Interior of Condo

November 2024 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Monthly Market Updates

November Snapshot – Sales Surge, Prices Nudge Up

According to the calendar… 2024 is nearly in the rearview. According to the data? The recovery may have already begun.

In November 2024, GTA home sales shot up 40.1% compared to the same time last year, clocking in at 5,875 sales. While new listings also increased, they rose by a much softer 6.6%—tightening market conditions and pushing average prices upward. The average selling price across the GTA reached $1,106,050, up 2.6% year-over-year.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, November also showed an uptick from October, suggesting that buyer confidence is returning earlier than expected.

Detached Homes Lead the Way

It’s detached homes that are doing the heavy lifting. With lower borrowing costs easing monthly payment pressure, many buyers are upgrading from condos or entering the market directly into low-rise homes.

The result? Detached properties, particularly in the City of Toronto, saw price growth that outpaced inflation. This segment continues to outperform as buyers prioritize space, privacy, and long-term value.

Condos Still Soft, But Opportunities Are Brewing

While freehold homes heat up, condos remain cool. Average prices for condominium apartments are still lower than a year ago—largely due to continued high inventory.

But here’s the upside: buyers have more negotiating power than they’ve had in years. This opens a window for renters who’ve been watching mortgage rates with interest. As borrowing costs continue to trend downward, we may see condo demand quietly rebound heading into spring.

What’s Driving the Shift?

The stage was set in early 2024: inflation finally began cooling, and with it came the start of a downward trend in borrowing costs. After months of waiting, many buyers are stepping off the sidelines.

Add in lower average prices (still well below peak levels), and the result is a more accessible market—with pent-up demand ready to ignite.

What This Means for Buyers and Sellers

If you’re a buyer, be strategic. Detached homes are tightening quickly, especially in prime pockets of Toronto. If you’ve been eyeing a condo, this may be your best shot to secure a deal.

For sellers, especially those in the low-rise segment, the outlook is promising. With fewer listings and more active buyers, properly priced homes are drawing attention—and offers.

Chart: GTA Market by the Numbers (Nov 2023 vs. Nov 2024)

MetricNov 2023Nov 2024% Change
Home Sales (GTA)4,1945,875+40.1%
New Listings10,87411,592+6.6%
Avg. Selling Price (All GTA)$1,078,900$1,106,050+2.6%
MLS HPI Benchmark↓ sharper drop↓ just 1.2%Improving

Looking Ahead – What Will 2025 Bring?

Will the Bank of Canada make further cuts? Will condo inventory finally shrink? Can first-time buyers take advantage of winter pricing before the usual spring surge?

The signs are pointing to an earlier-than-expected rebound. And while interest rates and inflation remain moving targets, buyer optimism is trending up.

Final Thoughts + What You Can Do Next

November’s market offered a glimpse of what 2025 might hold: more activity, tighter inventory, and renewed confidence. If you’re planning to make a move, now’s the time to build a strategy.

Ready to Talk Strategy?

Let’s break down your options over coffee—or Zoom. Whether you’re renting, buying, or just exploring, we’ll help you build a plan that works for 2025 and beyond.