toronto real estate market | TorontoLivings

Feb 04

January 2026 Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

A Cold and Cautious Start to 2026

January is always a difficult month to read too much into — and January 2026 came with a few extra asterisks. In addition to the usual post‑holiday slowdown, Toronto experienced two significant snowfalls and extended stretches of freezing temperatures which resulted in fewer showings and delayed listings.

With that in mind, January should be viewed less as a verdict on the year ahead and more as an early signal of how buyers and sellers are behaving under current conditions.

The January 2026 Snapshot

Sales across the Toronto market totalled 3,082 transactions in January, reflecting a year‑over‑year decline. New listings came in at 10,774, also down compared to last January, while active listings remained elevated at 17,975.

The average selling price finished the month at $973,289, down year‑over‑year (the time we saw a monthly average this low was November 2023 – cue the headlines), while average days on market stretched to 67 days — a noticeable increase that reinforces the slower pace of decision‑making across the market.

Sales & Inventory: Supply Still Setting the Pace

Sales softened again in January, but seasonality, affordability pressures, and weather all played a role. What’s more telling is that inventory remains relatively high for this time of year, keeping buyers firmly in control of timing and negotiations.

The increase in average days on market reinforces that point. Homes are taking longer to sell not because buyers aren’t looking, but because they’re willing to wait — and often pass — unless pricing and presentation align.

For buyers, this environment continues to offer leverage. For sellers, the margin for error on pricing is thinner than it’s been in years!

Market Breakdown by Property Type

Detached Homes

Detached homes recorded 290 sales in January, with an average selling price of $1,541,791. While sales volumes were softer compared to last January, pricing proved more resilient than in other segments. End‑users continue to dominate this category, particularly in established neighbourhoods where long‑term value remains the priority.

Buyers are taking their time and negotiating harder, especially on homes that need work. Sellers who priced realistically and prepared their homes well were still able to transact, while aspirational pricing struggled to gain traction — and in some cases, attracted no showings at all.

Semi‑Detached Homes

Semi‑detached homes saw 96 sales in January, with an average selling price of $1,146,188. This segment remained one of the more stable areas of the market, supported by move‑up buyers and families seeking freehold ownership without detached‑home pricing.

That said, stability does not mean immunity. Buyers are still value‑driven, and pricing accuracy matters. Well‑located semis continue to perform best, while over‑priced listings face longer market times.

Townhouses

Townhouses posted 113 sales in January, with an average selling price of $876,585. Sales were softer relative to both semis and detached homes, reflecting buyer hesitation and increased comparison shopping across property types.

For buyers, this has translated into increased choice and negotiating room. For sellers, positioning against both condos below and semis above is increasingly important.

Condo Apartments

Condo apartments accounted for the largest share of total sales in January, with 568 transactions, but they also told the clearest story of price adjustment. The average condo selling price declined to $624,886 — a level not seen since January 2021.

Investor hesitation, higher carrying costs, and financing conditions continue to weigh on this segment. At the same time, end‑users are finding more selection and leverage than they’ve had in years.

For buyers, this remains the most opportunity‑rich segment of the market. For sellers, patience or sharp pricing is required — rarely both.

Economic & Rate Backdrop

The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate steady in January, maintaining the current borrowing environment. However, several major banks are forecasting the possibility of rate increases later in 2026.

That expectation alone is influencing behaviour. Buyers are factoring future affordability into decisions today, while sellers are adjusting expectations based on what financing may look like later in the year.

Rates may not be moving — but expectations are.

What January Sets Up for the Months Ahead

January rarely sets the tone for the full year, but it does reveal behaviour. As weather improves and spring approaches, February and March will be far more telling.

Key indicators to watch include:

Whether sales volume begins to accelerate
How quickly new listings are absorbed
Whether condo inventory continues to build

A shift in any of these areas would signal a change in leverage.

Bottom Line

January 2026 delivered a market that rewards realism. Buyers have time and choice, but the best opportunities won’t last indefinitely. Sellers can still succeed — but strategy, pricing, and preparation matter more than optimism.

If you’re thinking about buying or selling in the year ahead, understanding how these conditions affect your specific property type and neighbourhood is key. We help clients make sense of the data, set realistic expectations, and move with confidence — whether that means acting quickly or waiting for the right moment.

If you’d like to talk through your plans for 2026, we’re always happy to help… send us a message below!

Jan 14

Love0

Top 10 Most Expensive Condo Sales in Toronto in 2025

By Mark Savel Advice For Buyers, Advice For Sellers, Luxury Real Estate

What These Sales Reveal About Toronto’s True Luxury Market

At the very top of Toronto’s condo market, averages stop being useful. What matters instead is scarcity, execution, and whether a property offers something genuinely difficult to replace. In 2025, ultra‑luxury condo sales were few, deliberate, and highly selective — but when the right product appeared, buyers still stepped forward.

This list captures the ten most expensive condo sales completed in Toronto in 2025. Together, they tell a clear story: price resistance existed, but pricing power remained intact for exceptional homes — particularly penthouses, large-format suites, and residences offering privacy, terraces, and concierge-driven living.

The Big Picture: Ultra‑Luxury Condos in 2025

While broader condo segments faced headwinds in 2025, the $6M+ tier operated by a different set of rules. In total, 12 condos traded for over $6 million during the year — a small number by volume, but telling in terms of where true demand still existed. Buyers were rarely stretching. Most were well-capitalized, patient, and highly specific. The result was a market that rewarded quality, not optimism.

A few themes quickly emerge:

• On average, these ultra‑luxury sales closed at approximately 95% of list price, reinforcing disciplined buyer behaviour.
• The average time on market was roughly two months, even at the very top end.
• The average annual property tax bill across this group was approximately $32,000, underscoring the carrying costs at this level.
• The bulk of sales occurred in Yorkville, with the remainder clustered in Rosedale‑adjacent locations.
• Penthouses and sub‑penthouses dominated the list, with outdoor space — terraces in particular — quietly driving value.
• Only one sale occurred outside the downtown core.

With that context, here’s how the top end of Toronto’s condo market actually traded in 2025. Prices shown reflect original list pricing.

The Top 10 Most Expensive Condo Sales of 2025

#1 – 7 Dale Ave PH3 — $14,000,000

Listed: $14,000,000
Size: Over 2,400 sq.ft. interior + expansive terraces
Layout: 3 bedrooms + den, 4 bathrooms
Parking: 3 spaces

This brand-new, never-lived-in penthouse at 7 Dale Avenue claimed the top spot for 2025 — and for good reason. Set above Rosedale’s private gardens and ravine system, this residence combined scale, elevation, and customization potential in one of Toronto’s most tightly held luxury pockets.

With direct elevator access, multiple terraces, and the ability for the buyer to select final finishes, the appeal wasn’t just luxury — it was control. Even at a discount from list, this sale reaffirmed that truly rare penthouses still define the ceiling of Toronto’s condo market.

Listed by: HAZELTON REAL ESTATE INC., BROKERAGE

#2 – 33 Jackes Ave #902 — $10,500,000

Listed: $10,500,000
Size: Approx. 4,482 sq.ft. interior + 1,255 sq.ft. terraces
Layout: 2 bedrooms + den, 4 bathrooms
Parking: 2 spaces (fits 3 cars)

Selling at full ask, this two-level penthouse at 33 Jackes Avenue showcased what happens when architectural pedigree, unobstructed views, and hotel-level service align. With four terraces, curated landscaping, skyline views, and valet service, the property functioned more like a private estate in the sky than a conventional condo.

For sellers, this was a reminder that when pricing is anchored to genuine uniqueness — not optimism — buyers will meet it.

Listed by: CHESTNUT PARK REAL ESTATE LIMITED

#3 – 200 Cumberland St #3403 — $8,499,000

Listed: $8,499,000
Size: Approx. 3,300 sq.ft.
Layout: 3 bedrooms + den, 4 bathrooms
Parking: 2 spaces

Located within Yorkville Private Estates, this southwest corner suite delivered volume, light, and flexibility — all traits buyers were prioritizing in 2025. Floor-to-ceiling windows, panoramic skyline views, and a traditional bedroom wing layout appealed to buyers looking to replicate single-family living without leaving the core.

The final sale price reflected negotiation discipline, but also confidence that premium space in Yorkville remains fundamentally desirable.

Listed by: CHESTNUT PARK REAL ESTATE LIMITED

#4 – 7 Dale Ave #207 — $8,250,000

Listed: $8,250,000
Size: Approx. 3,428 sq.ft. + terrace
Layout: 2 bedrooms, 3 bathrooms
Parking: 1 space

Another entry from 7 Dale Avenue, Suite 207 reinforced the building’s status as one of Toronto’s most refined boutique offerings. With interiors by Studio Munge, radiant heated floors, and a Crestron-integrated smart home system, this residence appealed to buyers focused on craftsmanship over sheer height.

This sale underscored a recurring theme in 2025: boutique luxury held its ground when execution was flawless.

Listed by:
ROYAL LEPAGE REAL ESTATE SERVICES OXLEY REAL ESTATE, BROKERAGE

#5 – 50 Yorkville Ave #4001 — $8,295,500

Listed: $8,295,500
Size: Approx. 2,874 sq.ft.
Layout: 2 bedrooms + den, 4 bathrooms
Parking: 3 spaces

Four Seasons Private Residences continue to define hotel-branded luxury in Toronto, and this northwest-facing suite delivered both scale and service. With private elevator access, marble finishes, and full access to five-star amenities, the appeal here was lifestyle certainty.

The spread between list and sale price also illustrated how even iconic buildings were not immune to negotiation in 2025.

Listed by: INTERCITY REALTY INC., BROKERAGE

#6 – 128 Hazelton Ave #801 — $8,325,000

Listed: $8,325,000
Size: Over 3,700 sq.ft. (two-storey)
Layout: 3 bedrooms, 4 bathrooms
Parking: 2 spaces

One of only 17 residences in the building — and the only two-storey suite — this sub-penthouse offered privacy, scale, and unobstructed park and skyline views. Boutique density, private elevators, and under-construction customization potential all played a role in attracting a buyer at this level.

Listed by: FOREST HILL REAL ESTATE INC., BROKERAGE

#7 – 50 Yorkville Ave #4403 — $8,499,000

Listed: $8,499,000
Size: Over 3,400 sq.ft.
Layout: 2 bedrooms + den, 3 bathrooms
Parking: 2 spaces

Another Four Seasons residence makes the list, reinforcing the building’s continued dominance at the top end. Dual private elevators, multiple terraces, and full hotel services appealed to buyers prioritizing turnkey luxury with minimal friction.

Listed by: HARVEY KALLES REAL ESTATE LTD., BROKERAGE

#8 – 118 Yorkville Ave #601 — $7,750,000

Listed: $7,750,000
Size: Over 5,200 sq.ft.
Layout: 4 bedrooms, 6 bathrooms
Parking: 6 spaces

Located within The Hazelton Hotel, this expansive residence functioned more like a private residence than a condo. Purpose-built for family living, the suite’s scale and access to five-star services made it one of the most functionally unique properties on the list.

Listed by: HAZELTON REAL ESTATE INC., BROKERAGE

#9 – 38 Avenue Rd #2302 — $6,495,000

Listed: $6,495,000
Size: Approx. 4,465 sq.ft.
Layout: 3 bedrooms, 5 bathrooms
Parking: 8 spaces

The only property on the list to sell above asking — and notably, a power of sale. This outcome highlighted how price positioning, combined with rarity and scale, can still generate competition even in cautious market conditions.

Listed by: SLAVENS & ASSOCIATES REAL ESTATE INC., BROKERAGE

#10 – 1 Strathgowan Ave PH02 — $6,995,000

Listed: $6,995,000
Size: Approx. 3,400 sq.ft. + 1,160 sq.ft. terraces
Layout: 3 bedrooms, 4 bathrooms
Parking: 2 spaces

The only sale outside the downtown core, this Lawrence Park penthouse stood out for its flexible layout and extraordinary outdoor space. With just two penthouses in the building, scarcity — not skyline — drove value here.

Listed by: ROYAL LEPAGE REAL ESTATE SERVICES HEAPS ESTRIN TEAM, BROKERAGE

Patterns That Defined the Top End in 2025

Across all ten sales, a few truths became impossible to ignore:

Buyers consistently paid for irreplaceability rather than hype, gravitating toward homes that offered something genuinely difficult to replicate. Large terraces and a sense of privacy mattered just as much as interior square footage, particularly for buyers replacing single-family homes. Hotel‑branded residences and ultra‑boutique buildings continued to dominate outcomes, reflecting a preference for service, discretion, and low density. Above all, pricing discipline proved decisive — well‑positioned listings moved efficiently, while aspirational pricing stalled, even at the very top end.

What This Means for Ultra‑Luxury Buyers

For buyers considering the $5M–$10M+ segment, 2025 reinforced that patience creates real leverage — not because prices collapsed, but because competition thinned. With fewer active buyers operating at this level, decision‑making became calmer and more deliberate, allowing well‑prepared purchasers to negotiate thoughtfully rather than react emotionally. The best opportunities weren’t necessarily cheap, but they offered strong relative value: exceptional homes, limited alternatives, and pricing that reflected today’s conditions rather than yesterday’s peak. For buyers who understood what truly mattered, value was high precisely because competition was lower.

Thinking About Buying or Selling at This Level?

If you’re curious about final sold prices or how these properties ultimately transacted, we’re always happy to share that context privately — just reach out.

Whether you’re quietly exploring opportunities or evaluating what your property could command in today’s market, ultra‑luxury decisions benefit from experience, discretion, and real pricing context.

Reach out to TorontoLivings for a confidential conversation about navigating the top end of Toronto’s condo market.

For Buyers Exploring Toronto’s Ultra‑Luxury Condo Market

If you’re considering a purchase at the very top end of Toronto’s condo market, we’ve built a dedicated resource that tracks the city’s most expensive condos, iconic buildings, and benchmark penthouse offerings — designed to help buyers understand where true value, scarcity, and long‑term prestige actually sit.

Explore our guide to Toronto’s most expensive condos

It’s a useful starting point if you’re narrowing your focus, comparing buildings, or simply trying to understand how the upper tier of the market really works before making your next move. Send us a message below, for a confidential conversation about navigating the top end of Toronto’s condo market!

Jan 12

Love0

2025 Wasn’t the Year of the Condo — But It Quietly Set the Stage for What Comes Next

By Mark Savel Advice For Buyers, Advice For Sellers

The Condo Year That Forced Real Decisions

If 2025 had a defining theme for downtown Toronto condos, it was realism.

This wasn’t a year where demand vanished — it was a year where buyers slowed down, sellers were tested, and the market stopped rewarding shortcuts. Inventory stayed elevated, financing costs stayed restrictive, and condos were the first segment to fully feel both pressures at once. What emerged wasn’t panic or paralysis, but a market that demanded accuracy.

For anyone paying attention, 2025 quietly reset expectations — and in doing so, laid important groundwork for what comes next.

Inventory Took Control of the Conversation

Throughout 2025, active condo listings remained structurally high. Even during the spring, when sales typically surge, inventory continued to build. That meant buyers weren’t just choosing between a handful of options — they were comparing dozens of similar units, often within the same building.

More listings didn’t translate into more urgency. Instead, they created hesitation, comparison shopping, and leverage. Visibility no longer guaranteed momentum; pricing accuracy did.

Sales Volume Was Selective, Not Stalled

On paper, condo apartment sales averaged roughly 908 transactions per month in 2025, down from the 2024 average of 1032 per month. Spring and early summer posted the strongest numbers, while late summer and year-end cooled noticeably.

But those averages mask what was really happening downtown. Sales clustered around correctly priced units with strong layouts, while investor-heavy product lagged behind. Buyers showed up, but only when the numbers made sense.

This was a market where demand existed — it just refused to overpay.

Condo sales continued throughout the year, but they weren’t evenly distributed. Well-located, livable units still attracted attention, while investor-heavy product often sat longer than expected.

This created the impression of an active market on paper but a cautious one on the ground. Buyers showed up informed, patient, and selective. They waited for price adjustments, tracked relists, and rarely felt pressured to act quickly.

In many ways, 2025 separated genuine end-user demand from speculative momentum — especially downtown.

Pricing Reality: The Slow Grind Lower

Condo prices didn’t collapse in 2025, but they softened steadily.

The average condo apartment price hovered around $698,000 for the year, drifting lower on a year-over-year basis in nearly every month. By late 2025, average prices were roughly 5–8% below the same period a year earlier, depending on the month.

Month-to-month changes were modest — often a few thousand dollars at a time — but the cumulative effect mattered. Sellers who chased the market down through multiple price reductions often ended up selling for less than those who priced realistically from day one.

For buyers, this slow grind lower shifted psychology. Instead of rushing, many waited for confirmation — and often got it. What we found most interesting was the months between August and November. Prices started trending up each month, from an average price of $667,660 to ending in November at $701,259.

Days on Market Became the Silent Negotiator

Time became one of the most important metrics in the condo market.

Average days on market climbed into the mid‑40s over the year, and stretched further toward year-end. By December, average DOM reached roughly 65 days, a stark contrast to the fast-moving condo market of prior years.

Longer listing histories gave buyers confidence to negotiate. Offers became more conditional, price discussions more direct, and relists more common. In a market once defined by speed, patience became leverage.

One of the clearest shifts in 2025 was the role of time.

Rising days on market gave buyers leverage without confrontation. Longer listing histories invited questions, encouraged conditional offers, and opened the door to meaningful negotiations. In a downtown condo market once defined by speed, time became the most powerful bargaining tool.

Listings that lingered weren’t necessarily flawed — but they were rarely immune to price discussions.

Mortgage Rates Changed Behaviour, Not Demand

The Bank of Canada’s interest rate environment shaped nearly every condo decision in 2025.

Lower borrowing costs didn’t add a ton of buyers — but it did change the math. Monthly payments became the focal point, especially for condos where affordability is closely scrutinized. Even small rate changes translated into meaningful differences in purchasing power.

What stood out was timing. Rate drops during the year often coincided with short-lived boosts in showing activity, but they didn’t translate into sustained urgency.

Where Downtown Condos Struggled Most

Small Investor Units and Micro Layouts

Studios and small one-bedroom units faced the toughest conditions. Carrying costs remained high, rental growth was uneven, and assignment competition lingered. Buyers demanded discounts, and many sellers were forced to confront numbers that no longer worked the way they once did.

Investor-Heavy Buildings

Buildings with large volumes of similar units struggled to stand out. With multiple near-identical listings competing at once, pricing transparency worked against sellers. Buyers knew exactly where leverage existed — and used it.

Return to Office: The Quiet Variable

One of the most underappreciated shifts in 2025 showed up in the rental numbers.

As downtown office attendance improved, rental absorption strengthened — particularly in the second half of the year. Condo apartments that struggled to lease earlier in 2025 began filling more consistently, especially near transit, and the downtown core.

This mattered for investors. While prices and rates kept many on the sidelines, improving rental stability helped re-anchor long-term projections.

Where Buyers Found Opportunity

For buyers willing to think beyond headlines, 2025 offered rare leverage.

Larger three-bedroom units, functional two-bedrooms, and end-user-oriented buildings became negotiable in ways that would have been unthinkable a few years earlier. Conditions, price reductions, and flexibility all re-entered the equation.

What Condo Sellers Learned the Hard Way

Pricing accuracy mattered more than marketing.

In 2025, sellers who priced strategically often sold. Those who tested the market frequently ended up adjusting — sometimes multiple times. Condition, layout, and presentation regained importance, and patience without a plan proved costly.

Why Investors May Re-Enter — Carefully

While 2025 wasn’t the year of the investor, it wasn’t the end either.

With rental absorption improving downtown and borrowing expectations beginning to stabilize, long-term investors started watching again. Not broadly — selectively. Units with strong fundamentals, livable layouts, and sustainable numbers drew quiet interest.

The speculative investor faded. The patient one began running the numbers again. We expect to see more of this with a return to office for many who work in the downtown core.

Rooftop pool at Bisha Hotel & Residences

Looking Ahead to 2026

As 2025 closed, the downtown condo market felt more balanced — not tight, but clearer.

Inventory remains elevated, but expectations are better aligned. Buyers understand value. Sellers understand leverage. Investors understand risk. That clarity may prove to be 2025’s most important legacy.

Thinking About Buying or Selling a Downtown Condo?

Whether you’re weighing a purchase, planning a sale, or simply trying to understand where downtown condos are headed next, clarity matters more than ever.

We spend every day helping buyers and sellers navigate Toronto’s condo market with real data, real context, and honest advice — not pressure. If you’d like a second opinion on pricing, timing, or strategy as we move into 2026, we’re always happy to talk.

Send us a message below to discuss your next move — even if you’re just exploring your options!

Jan 12

Love0

Toronto Real Estate Market 2025 Year-End Review & Outlook

By Mark Savel Advice For Buyers, Advice For Sellers, Toronto

If 2024 was about uncertainty, 2025 was about adjustment.

The defining force this year wasn’t disappearing demand — it was inventory overwhelming the market’s ability to absorb it. Toronto averaged 25,548 active listings throughout 2025, a level that consistently exceeded what buyer demand could comfortably clear. Supply peaked mid-year at 31,603 active listings in June, then remained elevated through most of the fall before finally compressing into December.

Sales activity followed a familiar seasonal arc, averaging 5,228 sales per month, but that demand was spread thin across a much larger pool of listings. On paper, the market looked active. On the ground, it felt selective.

Buyers had options. Time. Leverage. Sellers could still transact — but only when expectations were realistic from the outset. This wasn’t a crash. It wasn’t a rebound either. It was a prolonged re-pricing environment, where leverage steadily and decisively shifted toward buyers.

Sales & Demand: Present, But Highly Filtered

Sales volumes showed resilience through the middle of the year. Monthly sales climbed from 3,847 in January to a peak stretch above 6,100 sales between May and July, confirming that buyers were not sitting on the sidelines entirely.

But that demand was fragile.

By December, sales slipped back to 3,697, nearly identical to January levels, despite clearer pricing, more transparency, and softer expectations. That bookend tells the real story of 2025: demand existed, but urgency never fully returned.

Where buyers did act decisively, three patterns stood out:

• Homes priced directly in line with recent comparable sales
• Listings that were clearly superior to competing inventory
• Properties positioned as good value, not best-case scenarios

Homes that missed those marks didn’t just sell later — they often sold for less, after extended exposure and multiple price reductions.

Inventory & Supply: The Dominant Force of 2025

If there was a single variable that shaped behaviour this year, it was supply.

New listings averaged 15,469 per month, with spring inflows particularly heavy. April through June alone added nearly 60,000 new listings to the market. Even as sales improved seasonally, absorption never caught up.

The impact compounded over time. Active listings rose from 17,157 in January to over 30,000 by May, fundamentally changing buyer psychology. And even when new listings slowed sharply — falling to just 5,299 in December — buyers were still choosing from 17,005 active listings.

That’s not scarcity by any definition.

As a result, buyers compared more homes before committing, conditional offers became routine again, and sellers lost the ability to rely on urgency or fear of missing out. Inventory didn’t need to keep rising forever to reshape the market. It simply needed to stay elevated long enough for psychology to change — which it did.

Pricing & Value: Softening, With Clear Winners and Losers

The average Toronto sale price in 2025 landed around $1.065M, but that headline number hides meaningful divergence beneath the surface.

Prices peaked in late spring, then softened steadily through the second half of the year, tracking directly with elevated inventory and rising buyer selectivity. Average Days on Market climbed from 38 days in Q2 to 57 days by Q4, reinforcing how patience — not urgency — defined buyer behaviour by year-end.

Well-priced homes often sold within their first listing window. Overpriced listings typically required multiple reductions. Final sale prices increasingly drifted away from original list prices.

By Q4, buyers weren’t negotiating off asking prices — they were negotiating off perceived value, often pointing to better alternatives still sitting on the market.

2025 by Housing Segment: Four Markets, One Theme

Detached Homes

Detached homes were the most resilient segment in 2025, but not immune.

Sales volumes held up better here than in other segments, particularly in established neighbourhoods where land value, schools, and long-term scarcity continued to support demand. Even so, elevated supply capped pricing momentum. Many detached listings required sharper initial pricing to generate traction.

Buyers were qualified, deliberate, and far less emotional than in past cycles. Overpriced detached homes frequently sat through multiple listing periods, while realistically priced homes attracted steady — if unspectacular — interest.

Semi-Detached Homes

Semi-detached homes felt affordability pressure more directly.

As a traditional step-up option, this segment was highly sensitive to interest-rate psychology. Demand existed, but buyers had more choice than usual, and that softened competition.

Well-presented semis in strong neighbourhoods continued to sell, but rarely with the multiple-offer dynamics sellers had come to expect. Pricing accuracy mattered enormously, making this segment a clear barometer of buyer confidence.

Townhouses

Townhouses experienced one of the more noticeable shifts in 2025.

Inventory growth, particularly in newer and suburban-adjacent projects, increased competition and reduced urgency. Buyers weighed townhouses more carefully against condos and smaller detached options, prioritizing layout, fees, and long-term livability.

Well-priced freehold townhouses performed reasonably well. Those that lacked differentiation or sat awkwardly between price points often struggled.

Condos

Condos were the most challenged segment of 2025.

Elevated supply, especially among one-bedroom and investor-oriented units, weighed heavily on pricing and absorption. Buyers had ample choice and often adopted a wait-and-see posture, particularly in buildings with high listing concentration.

While unique, well-located, or larger units still sold, competition was fierce and pricing pressure persistent. By year-end, condos increasingly led the market’s re-pricing rather than following it.

What This Meant for Buyers

For buyers, 2025 delivered something Toronto rarely offers: choice without chaos.

Elevated inventory created real leverage, particularly on listings that had been on the market 30 days or longer. Disciplined buyers were often rewarded with price reductions, seller concessions, and time to conduct proper due diligence.

That said, decisiveness still mattered. Homes that were clearly priced right — especially in strong neighbourhoods or turnkey condition — continued to attract competition.

The opportunity wasn’t universal leverage. It was selective leverage.

What This Meant for Sellers

For sellers, 2025 was a year where strategy mattered more than timing.

Listings that launched aligned with market reality often sold efficiently, even in a high-inventory environment. Those that chased aspirational pricing frequently became stale and paid for it later.

The data reinforced a difficult but consistent truth: waiting for the market to “come back” was rarely rewarded.

Carrying costs, competition, and buyer fatigue often outweighed the benefit of holding out, particularly in the second half of the year. Sellers who succeeded treated pricing as a proactive decision, not a fallback plan.

Short-Term Outlook Heading Into 2026

As the market moves into 2026, inventory remains the variable to watch.

New listings have slowed seasonally, but active supply is still high enough to keep buyers cautious and selective. Interest-rate sentiment may improve, but affordability constraints haven’t disappeared.

The most likely near-term scenario is continued sorting: well-priced homes transact, misaligned ones adjust, and leverage remains situational rather than universal.

Thinking About Buying or Selling in 2026?

Markets like this reward strategy, not guesswork.

If you’re planning to buy or sell in 2026 and want clarity around pricing, timing, and leverage, we’re happy to help you think it through. Whether that means stress-testing a sale price, identifying real buying opportunities, or simply understanding how current conditions affect your plans, our role is to give you clear, grounded advice—before you make any big decisions. Get in touch with us by sending a message below!

Jan 12

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December 2025 Toronto Real Estate Market Update

By Mark Savel Monthly Market Updates

A Quiet Finish to a High-Inventory Year

Big Picture

December 2025 closed the year the way many of us expected: slower, softer, and more selective. This wasn’t a sudden shift—it was the natural compression of a market that spent most of the year carrying elevated inventory and cautious buyer psychology. Sales pulled back sharply from the fall, new listings tapered off as sellers stepped aside for the holidays, and prices softened further on both a month-over-month and year-over-year basis.

What matters most here is context. December didn’t change the market’s direction—it confirmed it. Buyers continued to hold leverage thanks to choice and patience, while sellers who remained active were increasingly motivated by timing, finances, or life changes rather than optimism. In other words, the market didn’t freeze—it clarified.

Sales & Demand: Seasonally Quiet, Selectively Active

Sales in December declined to 3,697 transactions, down 26% from November, which is entirely consistent with year-end seasonality. More telling, however, is that sales were up just over 10% year-over-year, suggesting buyers didn’t disappear—they simply became more deliberate.

Detached, semi-detached, and townhouse segments all experienced sharp month-over-month slowdowns, while condo sales also pulled back after a relatively active fall. This reinforced a theme that played out throughout 2025: buyers will move forward when pricing aligns with perceived value, but they’re unwilling to chase—or compromise, especially in the slow months of the year.

Inventory & Supply: Relief, Not Resolution

Active listings fell to 17,005, down more than 30% from November, largely because new listings collapsed to just 5,299—a normal December retreat. That said, inventory levels remained over 10% higher than December 2024, underscoring that the market is still structurally well supplied despite the seasonal pause.

This distinction matters. Negotiating pressure didn’t reset—it simply went dormant. Buyers heading into early 2026 will still be comparing options, price reductions, and listing histories from late 2025. Sellers hoping for a clean slate in January may find that buyers remember December listings very clearly.

Pricing & Value: A Soft Landing, Continued Sensitivity

The average Toronto home price slipped to $1,006,735, down 3.1% month-over-month and 5.7% year-over-year. Every major property type felt pressure, with detached and semi-detached homes posting notable annual declines, and condos continuing to wrestle with affordability ceilings and investor hesitation.

A key divergence worth noting: detached homes continued to see price sensitivity tied to affordability and carrying costs, while condos faced a different challenge—buyer hesitation driven by fees, investor pullback, and an abundance of comparable options. In short, detached pricing softened due to demand constraints, while condo pricing remained capped by supply and sentiment.

Equally telling: average days on market climbed to 65, the highest level of the year. Buyers weren’t rushing—and sellers were often forced to adjust expectations mid-listing. Gaps between initial list prices and achieved sales remained wide, particularly where sellers anchored to early-2022 or early-2023 benchmarks.

Housing Segment Performance: What the Numbers Showed in December 2025

Detached Homes

Detached home sales pulled back sharply in December, consistent with seasonal norms, but the more important trend was pricing behaviour. Detached prices continued to trend lower on a year-over-year basis, reinforcing that affordability—not demand—is the limiting factor. Buyers remained active, but only at price points that reflected today’s borrowing costs, not past peaks.

The rise in days on market was especially noticeable in this segment, signalling that detached sellers faced the greatest gap between expectations and buyer willingness. Homes that corrected early still sold; those that didn’t often linger. The year-end data suggests detached pricing remains sensitive heading into early 2026 unless rates or sentiment shift meaningfully.

Semi-Detached Homes

Semi-detached homes followed the same directional trend as detached properties, though with slightly better liquidity. Sales slowed month-over-month in December, but not disproportionately, reflecting steady underlying demand for this middle-ground housing type. Year-over-year performance was more stable than detached, reinforcing that buyers still see semis as a relative value play.

Pricing softened modestly rather than sharply. December showed that buyers had very little tolerance for even slight overpricing—homes that launched realistically moved, while those that didn’t quickly blended into available inventory.

Townhouses

Townhouse sales cooled alongside the broader market, but this segment continued to benefit from functional end-user demand. Price movement was relatively flat compared to detached homes, though performance varied significantly by product type. Freehold townhomes held value better, while stacked and condo townhomes behaved much more like the condo segment.

Days on market increased slightly, but not alarmingly. The key trend here is separation rather than decline: townhouses with clear value propositions remained competitive, while those caught between pricing tiers faced longer exposure and heavier negotiation.

Condos

Condos remained the most challenged segment heading into year-end. Sales slowed in December, and elevated inventory continued to weigh on pricing momentum. Year-over-year price softness persisted, reflecting investor pullback and increased competition among listings.

While entry-level and end-user-friendly units still attracted interest, buyers showed little urgency. Rising days on market and frequent price adjustments confirmed that leverage firmly rests with buyers. December reinforced that condos are likely the last segment to see pricing stabilization unless supply meaningfully contracts.

What This Means for Buyers

December reinforced that patience remains a valid strategy. While selection may thin temporarily, motivated sellers still exist—and many are willing to negotiate meaningfully on price, terms, or closing flexibility. Buyers who understand value, rather than simply chasing discounts, are best positioned as we move into early 2026.

For buyers looking to understand neighbourhood-level pricing and opportunity, exploring recent Toronto market breakdowns can help frame where value is emerging.

What This Means for Sellers

If you sold in December, you likely did so because you priced with intent. If you didn’t, the message is clear: 2026 will continue to reward preparation, pricing discipline, and strategic timing. Waiting only makes sense if expectations are flexible—and your timing truly allows it.

Sellers considering an early-2026 launch should pay close attention to how inventory rebuilt throughout 2025, as those patterns are likely to repeat.

Short-Term Outlook

As we head into the first quarter of 2026, expect inventory to rebuild quickly, buyer engagement to return cautiously, and pricing conversations to remain grounded. Interest-rate sentiment may improve marginally, but psychology—not policy—will continue to shape negotiations.

Thinking About Selling in 2026?

If a move is on your horizon this year, the groundwork matters more than ever. Pricing strategy, timing, and presentation—not hope—are what separate homes that sell cleanly from those that linger. If you’d like to talk through how this market impacts your buying or selling plans, send us a message below!

Sep 16

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Bank of Canada 2026 Rate Announcements & Toronto Real Estate

By Mark Savel Advice For Buyers, Advice For Sellers

As 2026 approaches, all eyes are once again on the Bank of Canada (BoC) and its interest rate announcements. After a period of steady adjustments through 2024 and 2025, the BoC has published its official 2026 schedule—dates that will shape everything from mortgage rates to Toronto’s housing market. With Toronto real estate highly sensitive to rate changes, this calendar matters to both buyers and sellers.

The 2026 Announcement Calendar

The BoC has confirmed eight interest rate decision dates in 2026 (Bank of Canada):

January 28
March 18
April 29
June 10
July 15
September 2
October 28
December 9

Each announcement is released at 9:45 a.m. ET. Four of these dates—January, April, July, and October—also come with a full Monetary Policy Report, offering deeper insight into the BoC’s outlook.

Forecasts & Drivers in 2026

So what’s at stake? As of mid-2025, the policy interest rate sits at 2.75%, with economists anticipating gradual cuts through 2025 and into 2026. Forecasts suggest we could see rates ease closer to 2.00%–2.50% by year’s end (True North Mortgage).

The key drivers the BoC will weigh:

Inflation trends – whether price growth holds steady within the 2% target range.
Economic growth – Canada’s GDP recovery pace, especially as tariffs and global trade pressures evolve.
Labour markets – employment strength and wage growth as signs of consumer demand.
Global risks – from U.S. interest rate policies to energy prices and supply chain stability.

Tracking Toronto’s Real Estate Activity

At Toronto Livings, we keep close tabs on the numbers that matter most:

Sales activity – recent TRREB data shows summer 2025 home sales rising modestly compared to last year.
Average prices – while sales are up, prices have faced downward pressure, with buyers negotiating more aggressively in a high-inventory market.
Inventory & listings – more active listings mean more choice for buyers; months of inventory (MOI) is trending higher (Move Smartly).
Condo vs. low-rise – low-rise homes have seen stronger year-over-year recovery, while the condo segment remains softer.

This real-time tracking helps us anticipate how the BoC’s decisions will ripple through Toronto’s housing market.

How Rate Changes Could Affect Toronto Real Estate in 2026

If rates fall: Lower borrowing costs could spur demand, especially among first-time buyers and move-up families. Low-rise homes may see renewed bidding wars if affordability improves.
If rates hold steady: Market momentum may remain muted, with price growth restrained and condos facing continued challenges.
If cuts are slower than expected: Buyers may stay cautious, and new construction projects—already at lower than historical levels—could face further delays.

What Buyers and Sellers Should Watch For

Key dates – mark the BoC’s eight announcements on your calendar.
Statements & reports – focus on inflation commentary, labour market analysis, and forward guidance.
Local market data – keep an eye on TRREB monthly updates for sales, listings, and pricing.

For buyers: staying pre-approved and watching for rate dips could provide an edge.
For sellers: higher inventory means standing out matters more than ever—pricing and presentation will be critical.

Conclusion

The BoC’s 2026 rate decisions are poised to shape not only mortgage costs but also the rhythm of Toronto’s real estate market. With forecasts leaning toward modest easing, the year could bring more opportunities for buyers while keeping sellers on their toes. We’ll continue to track the data and provide insights to help you navigate what’s ahead.

Jul 18

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Rent Control Exemptions in Toronto Explained

By Mark Savel Advice for Landlords

What Is Rent Control in Toronto?

Rent control in Ontario limits how much a landlord can increase a tenant’s rent each year. For 2026, the provincial guideline is 2.1% for most residential units—meaning landlords can’t raise rents above that amount unless approved for an above-guideline increase (AGI).

But not all rentals follow this rule. In Toronto, a growing number of units are exempt from rent control, creating different rules for both landlords and tenants.

Which Rentals Are Exempt from Rent Control?

Post‑November 15, 2018 Units

Any unit first occupied for residential use after November 15, 2018 is exempt under Ontario’s Residential Tenancies Act. This includes:

New condo units rented out for the first time.
Purpose-built rental buildings completed after that date.
Newly finished basement suites or secondary units occupied for the first time after 2018.

Why Are They Exempt?

The Ontario government introduced this exemption to encourage new housing development. By allowing landlords to set market-driven rent increases, policymakers hoped more developers would build rental housing.

What Rules Still Apply to Exempt Units?

Even if a unit is exempt from rent control caps, landlords still must:

Wait 12 months between rent increases.
Provide 90 days’ written notice using Form N2 (VERY IMPORTANT as most landlords we speak with assume Form N1 is sufficient)
Follow all other tenancy rules (e.g., maintenance, eviction regulations).

How This Impacts Tenants and Landlords

For Tenants

Exempt units can see steeper rent increases year-over-year. Budgeting is trickier, and long-term affordability can be uncertain.

For Landlords

More pricing flexibility can mean higher rental income, especially in high-demand areas. But aggressive rent hikes may push tenants out, causing longer vacancies.

Average Rent Increase Comparison

According to Clavis Property Management, exempt units saw average increases of 5–10% annually in recent years—double or even triple the guideline cap.

Should You Rent or Invest in an Exempt Unit?

For renters, exempt units often come with newer finishes and better amenities—but expect rent to grow faster than older, controlled buildings. For investors, these units provide better revenue potential, making them attractive for long-term holds.

Thinking about renting or investing in Toronto? Talk to our team. We help clients understand how rent control exemptions could affect their long-term plans.

FAQ

Can my landlord raise my rent anytime?

No. Even in exempt units, landlords must wait 12 months between increases and give 90 days’ written notice.

Can I refuse a rent increase on an exempt unit?

You can’t refuse if proper notice is given, but you can dispute illegal increases at the Landlord and Tenant Board.

Are all new condos exempt?

Most are—if the unit was first occupied after November 15, 2018. Older condos remain under rent control.

Ready to Make a Move?

Whether you’re a tenant navigating rent hikes or an investor weighing the benefits of an exempt unit, our team can guide you through the Toronto rental market. Contact us today to get expert advice and a strategy that fits your goals.

External References:

Apr 17

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What is a Status Certificate and WHY are they important to review before buying a condo?

By Mark Savel Advice For Buyers, Video Blog

One of the most important parts of the condo buying process, is reviewing the corporations Status Certificate!

What is A Status Certificate?

A status certificate is a collection of documents, issued by a condominiums property manager that contains info on:

Contact information – lists out the legal name of the Condo Corporation, Property Management, and Board of Directors.
Maintenance fee amount (Expenses) – both at time of issue and if there are any plans to increase in the near future.
Budget – what the building is spending its monthly maintenance fees on.
Reserve Fund – how much they have saved for the repair and replacement of components in a condo (ie. savings for roof repairs, parking garages, upgrades, etc)
Legal Proceedings/Claims – if any lawsuits are levied against the corporation, or if the corp has levied any against others.
Leasing of Units – how many units are currently tenanted in the building
Notices – announcements of maintenance fee increases, any planned repairs, or other factors that may impact maintenance fees
Bylaws and Rules – The bylaws and rules list what you can or can’t do in a building…Some buildings in the city have outright bans on pets or restrictions on certain breeds and weights.
Insurance Requirements – policies the corp has in place, and requirements for new purchasers to have.

How Order a Status Certificate

A seller can request a status certificate by contacting the buildings property manager. The management company will have 10 business days to prepare and can deliver it in either hard copy or in digital via email.

How Much is a Status Certificate

The certificate will cost $100 + HST and can be paid by either the buyer or seller, depending on how a deal is structured.

Why You Must Request a Status Certificate

Sellers – I often suggest ordering one before you even go to market with your property. As a seller, you have a duty and responsibility to disclose any and all details that could impact the sale of your condo. By ordering a status in advance, you’ll be made well aware any potential pitfalls and can disclose these issues to potential purchasers ahead of time to avoid any issues with closing.

Buyers – In a condo, values are closely tied to how well the building is run (second to location of course). If fees skyrocket, you may find that the buildings value will appreciate much slower (or actually depreciate) than a building with lower maintenance fees. A building with known problems can also have an impact on financing and insurance resulting in higher monthly costs – knowing this in advance can allow you to negotiate a better price, or walk away from the deal all together!

Who Reviews the Status Certificate

It is crucial, you take it to a Real Estate Lawyer who has experience in condo dealings. They are trained in knowing what to look for and the right questions to ask. DO NOT take it to general law firm, or rely solely on a realtors review of it!

How Long Do you Have to Review a Status Certificate

Most clauses generally allow 2-3 days for lawyer review. It’s a small window of time, so it’s best have a candid conversation with your lawyer in advance and tell them exactly how you plan on using the property.

A common misstep is with buyers who spends months out of country. If their plan is to rent it on AirBnB while away, it’s best to make sure there aren’t any rules or bylaws preventing you from doing so!

Remember, a Status Certificate is generally valid for only 90 days – so if a seller produces a Status dated older than 90 days, ensure you request a new one.

When Should You Walk Away From Purchasing a Condo

No matter how in love you’ve fallen with your new purchase – there are a number of reasons you may want to walk once the status certificate is reviewed:

If the corporation has a low reserve fund – with no plans of replenishing
Lawsuits that could result in a loss to the building
Indications of an increase to monthly fees or large repairs
Being blacklisted from lenders or insurance companies

Accompanying Documents That Also Come With a Status Certificate

Other important documents that accompany the status include:

The Declaration
Bylaws
Rules and Regulations,
Certificate of Insurance
Current Budget
Reserve Fund Study
Management Agreements
Financial Statements
New Owner Information
Move-in and Out forms
Other Building forms